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Prediction markets for John

What proportion of John von Neumann clones aged 20 or older will identify as LGBTQ+?

Jun 18, 1:58 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

24.58%chance

4965814

OptionVotes

NO

YES

972

970

Will Jon Stewart, Bill Maher, or John Oliver ever run for president?

Oct 12, 6:14 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

7.9%chance

363701

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2891

631

By the end of 2026, John Wentworth still believes that "The Plan" has a better than 50/50 chance of working before the singularity.

Dec 2, 5:23 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.91%chance

303435

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1601

694

Will the podcast “Dear Hank and John” be renamed “Dear John and Hank” in 2028?

Jun 23, 3:46 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

89.45%chance

62807

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2912

343

John McTone (Alex) Stock

Mar 3, 12:56 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

38.16%chance

16884

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1022

979

Will John Green's next book be fiction?

Mar 11, 5:15 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

77.01%chance

5850

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1830

546

Will John Wentworth's Gears of Aging series hold up in 2033?

Feb 25, 8:14 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

11.35%chance

12838

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1560

864

Will John Boyega be in any of the 3 upcoming Star Wars movies?

Apr 22, 8:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

58.88%chance

12721

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1082

826

Will John Fetterman stop being senator before the 2028 election?

Feb 17, 1:21 PMNov 7, 11:59 PM

24.41%chance

15655

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1014

978

Will John Wick 5 be rated at least 7.5 in the IMDB rankings?

Apr 21, 12:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

48.32%chance

15394

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1030

961

Will John Thune stop being Senate Republican Leader before 2030?

Nov 13, 8:26 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

56.1%chance

2170

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1130

885

What Will John Make In MathCounts?

Jul 26, 3:26 AMJun 1, 3:20 AM

00

OptionProbability

Nothing

School

Chapter

State

National

Other

17

17

17

17

17

17

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