OptionProbability
Mainstream Media
Letitia James
January 6th Committee
Jimmy Kimmel
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
LQBTQ / Trans People
Migrants
Jack Smith
Vaccine mandates
Ann Selzer
The Bidens (Joe, Ashley, Jill, and/or Hunter Biden)
Elon Musk
Anthony Fauci
Gen. Mark Milley
The New York Times (NYT)
Universities
Paper straws
Leakers
Blinken
Maine
Due Process
National Institutes of Health
Solar Energy
Miles Taylor
Alejandro Mayorkas
Stephen Colbert
John Bolton
Wind Energy
James Comey
John Brennan
Panama
JB Pritzker
Public Libraries
Alexander Vindman
Progressive YouTube Influencers
Tucker Carlson
The Metropolitan Museum of Art
Bruce Springsteen
Zohran Mamdani
Nancy Pelosi
The Atlantic
the National Archives
Disney
Any professional sports league
The American Psychiatric Association
Lisa Murkowski (R-AK)
Denmark
Jeffrey Goldberg (Atlantic columnist)
Seth Myers
Bill Barr
Susan Collins (R-ME)
Michael Cohen
Mariann Edgar Budde
Wikipedia
Any non-Tesla electric car manufacturer
Ken Klippenstein
The American Medical Association
Christopher Steele
John Kelly
Emmanuel Macron
Jeff Bezos
Narendra Modi
Greenland
Any Manifold User
E. Jean Carroll
Fluoride
TIME magazine
Joe Biden
Jen Psaki (former White House Press Secretary and current MSNBC host)
Brad Raffensperger
WIRED Magazine
Kristi Noem
Liz Cheney
The San Diego Zoo
American sign language signers or interpreters
JD Vance
The population of penguins and seabirds on the Heard and McDonald Islands
Any fashion or cosmetics brand
Mike Pence
Barack Obama
Russell Vought
Democratic Republic of the Congo
Jezebel (website)
Black Nationals
SSRIs
Beyoncé
Pete Hegseth
Rosie O'Donnell
Alec Baldwin
Taylor Swift
BlueSky
Not Elected
Chappell Roan
Bill Burr
Steve Wynn
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
83
73
70
69
69
68
61
59
58
55
55
54
54
51
50
49
48
46
44
43
39
37
36
35
34
34
34
33
31
28
25
25
23
23
21
21
21
20
19
18
18
17
16
15
12
12
12
12
11
9
9
8
8
7
6
4
3
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
John Bolton – Former National Security Advisor under President Trump
John Brennan – Former Director of the CIA under President Obama, currently a Senior National Security and Intelligence Analyst at NBC and MSNBC
James Comey – Former FBI Director
James Clapper – Former Director of National Intelligence under President Obama, currently a National Security Analyst at CNN
John Carlin – Acting Deputy Attorney General, former head of National Security Division at DoJ during the Russia Gate investigation by FBI
Hillary Clinton – Former Democrat Party Nominee for President and Former Secretary of State under President Obama
Merrick Garland – Attorney General under President Biden
Loretta Lynch – Former Attorney General under President Obama
Susan Rice – Former National Security Advisor under President Obama, currently Director of the Domestic Policy Council under President Biden
Alexander Vindman – Former Director for European Affairs on the NSC under President Trump
Kamala Harris – Vice President of the United States
Andrew McCabe – Former Deputy Director of the FBI under President Trump
Fiona Hill – Former NSC staffer who worked with Vindman and Ciaramella
John Podesta – Former Counselor to President Obama
Lisa Page – Former Legal Counsel for Deputy Director of the FBI Andrew McCabe and currently a National Security and Legal Analyst at NBC and MSNBC
Eric Holder – Former Attorney General under President Obama and current Senior Counsel at Covington law firm
Stephen Boyd – Former head of Legislative Affairs at DoJ under Deputy Attorney General Rosenstein
Sally Yates – Former Deputy Attorney General under President Obama and briefly the Acting Attorney General under President Trump
Evelyn Farkas – Former DoD official under President Obama
Lloyd Austin – Secretary of Defense under President Biden
Mark Milley – Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff
Jake Sullivan – National Security Advisor under President Biden
Christopher Wray – Director of the FBI under President Trump and President Biden, former partner at King & Spalding
James Baker – Former General Counsel for the FBI, currently a member of the Brookings Institute, former Deputy General Counsel at Twitter
Eric Ciaramella – Former NSC staffer within the Obama and Trump administrations
Mark Esper – Former Secretary of Defense under President Trump
Lisa Monaco – Deputy Attorney General of the United States
Pat Philbin – Former Deputy White House Counsel under President Trump
Peter Strzok – Former Deputy Assistant Director of the FBI's Counterintelligence Division
Michael Sussmann – Former legal representative for the Democratic National Committee and former partner at Perkins Coie law firm
Robert Hur – Special Counsel to investigate Biden and former PADAG under Rosenstein
Andrew Weissman – Former Deputy under Special Counsel Mueller
Michael Atkinson – Former Intelligence Community Inspector General
Pat Cipollone – Former White House Counsel under President Trump
Timothy Thibault – Former Assistant Special Agent at the FBI's Washington Field Office
Joe Biden – President of the United States
Cassidy Hutchinson – Aide to Mark Meadows
Brian Auten – Supervisory Intelligence Analyst within the FBI
Elizabeth Dibble – Former Deputy Chief of Mission at the US Embassy in London
Sarah Isgur Flores – Former Head of Communications at DoJ for AG Sessions
Stephanie Grisham – Former Press Secretary for President Trump and Chief of Staff for Melania Trump
Gina Haspel – Former Director of the CIA under President Trump and current advisor at King & Spalding law firm
Curtis Heide – FBI Agent
Nina Jankowicz – Former Executive Director of the Disinformation Governance Board in the Biden administration
Lois Lerner – Former Director of the IRS under President Obama
Charles Kupperman – Former Deputy National Security Advisor under President Trump
Kenneth Mackenzie – Retired US Marine Corps General and former Commander of the United States Central Command
Ryan McCarthy – Former Secretary of the Army under President Trump
Mary McCord – Former Acting Assistant Attorney General for National Security at the DoJ and currently the Executive Director for the Georgetown Law Institute for Constitutional Advocacy and Protection
Denis McDonough – Former Chief of Staff for President Obama and currently Secretary of Veterans Affairs
Sally Moyer – Former Supervisory Attorney at the FBI and currently Legal Counsel at Cloudflare
Bruce Ohr – Former Associate Deputy Attorney General
Samantha Power – Former Ambassador to the United Nations under President Obama, currently Administrator of the United States Agency for International Development
Bill Priestap – Former Assistant Director for the FBI Counterintelligence Division
Rod Rosenstein – Former Deputy Attorney General under President Trump and current partner at King & Spalding law firm
Miles Taylor – Former DHS official under President Trump, aka "Anonymous"
Alyssa Farah – Former Director of Strategic Communications under President Trump
Nellie Ohr – Former CIA Employee and Independent Contractor for Fusion GPS
Bill Barr – Former Attorney General under President Trump
Robert Mueller – Former Director of the FBI and Special Counsel
100
100
100
79
76
68
68
66
66
66
58
57
56
56
51
49
48
47
46
41
41
41
41
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
37
37
36
35
35
34
33
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
27
27
24
0
OptionVotes
NO
YES
5270
1565
