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John Fieldly News
Prediction markets for John Fieldly
Prediction markets for John Fieldly
Will any notable scientist or public intellectual posthumously publish as an AI simulacrum before EoY 2027?
Jun 12, 3:00 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
7.64%
chance
22
6982
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3477
288
Will AI contribute novel theorywork to agent foundations before 2028?
Jul 24, 2:59 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
73.65%
chance
13
5870
Option
Votes
NO
YES
5679
2185
Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?
Aug 10, 5:55 PM
Dec 18, 2:59 PM
28.12%
chance
25
1306
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1669
510
Will Z win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Jun 15, 10:53 AM
Jul 29, 11:59 PM
1%
chance
12
233
Option
Votes
YES
NO
286
1
Should Manifold allow bots?
Feb 8, 3:54 PM
32
0
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