OptionVotes
NO
YES
2328
593
OptionProbability
Smart speaker (Amazon Echo-style)
Earbuds
Other
Pen
AR/VR Goggles
Phone
Watch
Wearable badge
72
14
10
4
0
2640
380
Will have a battery
Requires a network connection
Has a microphone
Can play music from Spotify
US retail price <= $500 on launch
Has a camera
US retail price <= $300 on launch
Uses a normal OpenAI model (i.e. available through ChatGPT / API to non-device-owners)
Will have a vibration motor for notifications
Sells more than 100 thousand units within 12 months of its release
Is wearable
Has notification LEDs
Designed to be worn on head (e.g. glasses, hat)
Has any screen
Will come in >= 3 colors on launch
Sells more than a million units within 12 months of its release
Requires a ChatGPT Plus or higher subscription
Sells more than 5 million units within 12 months of its release
On sale to the public (no pre-order, no invite-only) before 1st June 2026
On sale to the public (no pre-order, no invite-only) before 1st January 2026
97
94
89
88
85
61
59
57
56
50
43
42
39
36
34
30
6
5
Before July 2027
Before December 31st 2026
Before July 2026
Before December 31st 2025
91
52
8
1
OpenAI significantly expands the scope of Ads in ChatGPT
OpenAI removes ads in ChatGPT
Anthropic adds Ads in one of their primary AI apps (currently Claude)
70
20