OptionVotes
YES
NO
3264
307
OptionProbability
Smart speaker (Amazon Echo-style)
Pen
Earbuds
Other
AR/VR Goggles
Phone
Watch
Wearable badge
94
4
1
0
1356
824
Has a microphone
Will have a battery
Requires a network connection
US retail price <= $500 on launch
Has notification LEDs
Can play music from Spotify
Has a camera
Uses a normal OpenAI model (i.e. available through ChatGPT / API to non-device-owners)
On sale to the public (no pre-order, no invite-only) before 1st December 2027
Will have a vibration motor for notifications
Sells more than 100 thousand units within 12 months of its release
Requires a ChatGPT Plus or higher subscription
Will come in >= 3 colors on launch
Sells more than a million units within 12 months of its release
Is wearable
US retail price <= $300 on launch
Cancelled before put on general sale
Has any screen
Designed to be worn on head (e.g. glasses, hat)
Sells more than 5 million units within 12 months of its release
On sale to the public (no pre-order, no invite-only) before 1st January 2026
On sale to the public (no pre-order, no invite-only) before 1st June 2026
99
97
96
89
84
59
57
56
42
36
34
19
9
7
6
Before July 2027
Before December 31st 2026
Before December 31st 2025
Before July 2026
76
37
OpenAI significantly expands the scope of Ads in ChatGPT
OpenAI removes ads in ChatGPT
Anthropic adds Ads in one of their primary AI apps (currently Claude)
70
20
10