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OptionProbability
Scores over 23.5 points in Week 1
Wins a preseason game
Saquon Barkley plays at least 12 games
Jalen Hurts scores more rushing TDs than Josh Allen
Jalen Hurts retires with more rushing yards than Josh Allen retires with
The team moves or is renamed before 2050
Drafts at least one QB in the NFL Draft
Nick Sirianni is fired mid-season
100
100
100
100
34
31
0
0
OptionProbability
Sam Darnold
Drake Maye
Joe Burrow
Brock Purdy
Jared Goff
Jimmy Garoppolo
Josh Allen
Caleb Williams
Jayden Daniels
Lamar Jackson
Jordan Love
Bo Nix
Justin Herbert
Jaxson Dart
C.J. Stroud
Cam Ward
Dak Prescott
Bryce Young
Michael Penix Jr.
Kirk Cousins
Kyler Murray
Anthony Richardson
Justin Fields
Tua Tagovailoa
J.J. McCarthy
Shedeur Sanders
99
84
83
82
82
80
75
74
70
67
63
59
55
50
45
45
45
45
41
41
37
27
26
21
16
8
OptionProbability
35% or higher Kick Return rate
At least one missed kicking extra point attempt
Any team scores 24+ points before halftime
Largest FG made is from 57+ yards out
Pick Six
Score as time expires in the 4th Quarter/OT
Any team scores 40+ points
At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose
Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game
Game Winning Drive starting in the last 2 Minutes
Safety Scored
California Teams (Chargers, Rams, 49ers) finish the week with a better record than New York State teams (Bills, Jets, Giants)
A 1pm ET game is still going when a 4:25pm ET game starts
Player Records at least 2 Interceptions in a Game
Any player throws for more than 350 yards and loses
MVP Favorite Changes by Wednesday (Josh Allen)
Bird teams finish with a better record than Cat teams (Win %)
Team change in top 5 Super Bowl favorites from previous Wednesday to Wednesday after the weeks games
2 Point Conversions convert at 50% or higher for the Week
Will a championship belt change teams?*
A 4th and 11+ is converted*
At least 5 QBs throw for 300+ yards
Any player scores 3 TDs in a game (non-passing)
Overtime
4th and Goal from the 1 (or inches) stopped
Punt or Kick Return Touchdown
Fake Punt
For each game, take the GCD of both teams' scores. Is the result for any game at least 8?
AFC or NFC Offensive Player of the Week is a Running Back
A prime number of total missed field goals + extra points
All Starting Rookie QBs lose
The player with the most passing yards wears a prime number
A player gets an Octopus
A QB has at least 2 turnovers and at least 4 TDs (including passing)
Fat Guy Touchdown*
Any 400 yard passer
Shutout
3 Missed FGs or Extra Points (from both teams combined) in a Game
Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game
A QB has at least 3 turnovers and at least 3 TDs (including passing)
A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury
Any Double Digit Underdog Wins
Scorigami
For each letter of the alphabet, at least one touchdown is scored by a player that has that letter in their first or last name
A lateral more than a yard past the line of scrimmage (non-last play of the game)
Taylor Swift in Attendance to Any Game
Hip Drop Tackle penalty called during any game
All Starting Rookie QBs win
Highest Scoring Game of the Season (so far)*
87
84
80
78
77
74
71
70
68
62
54
53
53
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
48
47
46
46
45
45
45
45
43
41
41
39
39
38
37
37
34
33
32
24
24
22
18
18
6
OptionProbability
35% or higher Kick Return rate
At least one missed kicking extra point attempt
Any team scores 24+ points before halftime
Pick Six
Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game
Any team scores 40+ points
Taylor Swift in Attendance to Any Game
At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose
Punt or Kick Return Touchdown
Game Winning Drive starting in the last 2 Minutes
Score as time expires in the 4th Quarter/OT
Safety Scored
AFC or NFC Offensive Player of the Week is a Running Back
Fake Punt
Player Records at least 2 Interceptions in a Game
MVP Favorite Changes by Wednesday (Josh Allen)
Scorigami
Lateral caught at least 1 yard beyond the line of scrimmage (per gamebook) (non-last play of the game)
Bird teams finish with a better record than Cat teams (Win %)
Any 400 yard passer
Team change in top 5 Super Bowl favorites from previous Wednesday to Wednesday after the weeks games
2 Point Conversions convert at 50% or higher for the Week
Will a championship belt change teams?*
A 4th and 11+ is converted*
California Teams (Chargers, Rams, 49ers) finish the week with a better record than New York State teams (Bills, Jets, Giants)
At least 5 QBs throw for 300+ yards
A 1pm ET game is still going when a 4:25pm ET game starts
Any player scores 3 TDs in a game (non-passing)
For each game, take the GCD of both teams' scores. Is the result for any game at least 8?
Largest FG made is from 57+ yards out
4th and Goal from the 1 (or inches) stopped
3 Missed FGs or Extra Points (from both teams combined) in a Game
The player with the most passing yards wears a prime number
Overtime
All Starting Rookie QBs lose
For each letter of the alphabet, at least one touchdown is scored by a player that has that letter in their first or last name
Any player throws for more than 350 yards and loses
A player gets an Octopus
A prime number of total missed field goals + extra points
Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game
Fat Guy Touchdown*
A QB has at least 2 turnovers and at least 4 TDs (including passing)
A QB has at least 3 turnovers and at least 3 TDs (including passing)
All Starting Rookie QBs win
Shutout
A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury
Any Double Digit Underdog Wins
Hip Drop Tackle penalty called during any game
Highest Scoring Game of the Season (so far)*
91
85
76
76
72
72
71
69
59
59
59
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
47
45
45
45
45
41
41
31
31
31
29
23
19
10
6
OptionProbability
35% or higher Kick Return rate
At least one missed kicking extra point attempt
Any team scores 24+ points before halftime
Score as time expires in the 4th Quarter/OT
Any team scores 40+ points
At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose
Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game
Largest FG made is from 57+ yards out
Pick Six
Game Winning Drive starting in the last 2 Minutes
Overtime
AFC or NFC Offensive Player of the Week is a Running Back
Player Records at least 2 Interceptions in a Game
Any player throws for more than 350 yards and loses
MVP Favorite Changes by Wednesday (Josh Allen)
Bird teams finish with a better record than Cat teams (Win %)
Team change in top 5 Super Bowl favorites from previous Wednesday to Wednesday after the weeks games
2 Point Conversions convert at 50% or higher for the Week
Will a championship belt change teams?*
A 4th and 11+ is converted*
California Teams (Chargers, Rams, 49ers) finish the week with a better record than New York State teams (Bills, Jets, Giants)
At least 5 QBs throw for 300+ yards
A 1pm ET game is still going when a 4:25pm ET game starts
Any player scores 3 TDs in a game (non-passing)
For each game, take the GCD of both teams' scores. Is the result for any game at least 8?
4th and Goal from the 1 (or inches) stopped
A player gets an Octopus
A prime number of total missed field goals + extra points
The player with the most passing yards wears a prime number
Punt or Kick Return Touchdown
3 Missed FGs or Extra Points (from both teams combined) in a Game
Fake Punt
A QB has at least 2 turnovers and at least 4 TDs (including passing)
Fat Guy Touchdown*
All Starting Rookie QBs lose
Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game
A QB has at least 3 turnovers and at least 3 TDs (including passing)
Safety Scored
Any Double Digit Underdog Wins
A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury
A lateral more than a yard past the line of scrimmage (non-last play of the game)
Any 400 yard passer
Shutout
For each letter of the alphabet, at least one touchdown is scored by a player that has that letter in their first or last name
Hip Drop Tackle penalty called during any game
Scorigami
All Starting Rookie QBs win
Taylor Swift in Attendance to Any Game
Highest Scoring Game of the Season (so far)*
86
86
80
74
74
72
69
66
60
59
59
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
45
45
45
44
44
43
41
41
41
37
37
35
34
34
31
31
31
24
24
21
20
19
9
OptionProbability
35% or higher Kick Return rate
At least one missed kicking extra point attempt
Any team scores 24+ points before halftime
Largest FG made is from 57+ yards out
Pick Six
Score as time expires in the 4th Quarter/OT
Any team scores 40+ points
At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose
Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game
Game Winning Drive starting in the last 2 Minutes
Safety Scored
California Teams (Chargers, Rams, 49ers) finish the week with a better record than New York State teams (Bills, Jets, Giants)
A 1pm ET game is still going when a 4:25pm ET game starts
Player Records at least 2 Interceptions in a Game
Any player throws for more than 350 yards and loses
MVP Favorite Changes by Wednesday (Josh Allen)
Bird teams finish with a better record than Cat teams (Win %)
Team change in top 5 Super Bowl favorites from previous Wednesday to Wednesday after the weeks games
2 Point Conversions convert at 50% or higher for the Week
Will a championship belt change teams?*
A 4th and 11+ is converted*
At least 5 QBs throw for 300+ yards
Any player scores 3 TDs in a game (non-passing)
Overtime
4th and Goal from the 1 (or inches) stopped
Punt or Kick Return Touchdown
Fake Punt
For each game, take the GCD of both teams' scores. Is the result for any game at least 8?
AFC or NFC Offensive Player of the Week is a Running Back
A prime number of total missed field goals + extra points
All Starting Rookie QBs lose
The player with the most passing yards wears a prime number
A player gets an Octopus
A QB has at least 2 turnovers and at least 4 TDs (including passing)
Fat Guy Touchdown*
Any 400 yard passer
3 Missed FGs or Extra Points (from both teams combined) in a Game
Shutout
Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game
A QB has at least 3 turnovers and at least 3 TDs (including passing)
Any Double Digit Underdog Wins
A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury
Scorigami
For each letter of the alphabet, at least one touchdown is scored by a player that has that letter in their first or last name
A lateral more than a yard past the line of scrimmage (non-last play of the game)
Taylor Swift in Attendance to Any Game
Hip Drop Tackle penalty called during any game
All Starting Rookie QBs win
Highest Scoring Game of the Season (so far)*
86
84
78
77
76
73
70
69
67
60
54
52
52
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
49
48
47
47
45
45
45
45
44
41
41
40
39
38
37
37
34
34
33
24
24
22
20
20
5
OptionProbability
35% or higher Kick Return rate
At least one missed kicking extra point attempt
Largest FG made is from 57+ yards out
At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose
Any team scores 24+ points before halftime
Pick Six
Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game
Any team scores 40+ points
Score as time expires in the 4th Quarter/OT
Punt or Kick Return Touchdown
Game Winning Drive starting in the last 2 Minutes
Fake Punt
Taylor Swift in Attendance to Any Game
Safety Scored
AFC or NFC Offensive Player of the Week is a Running Back
Player Records at least 2 Interceptions in a Game
Any player throws for more than 350 yards and loses
A QB has at least 2 turnovers and at least 4 TDs (including passing)
MVP Favorite Changes by Wednesday (Josh Allen)
Bird teams finish with a better record than Cat teams (Win %)
Any 400 yard passer
Team change in top 5 Super Bowl favorites from previous Wednesday to Wednesday after the weeks games
2 Point Conversions convert at 50% or higher for the Week
Will a championship belt change teams?*
A 4th and 11+ is converted*
California Teams (Chargers, Rams, 49ers) finish the week with a better record than New York State teams (Bills, Jets, Giants)
At least 5 QBs throw for 300+ yards
Any player scores 3 TDs in a game (non-passing)
For each game, take the GCD of both teams' scores. Is the result for any game at least 8?
All Starting Rookie QBs lose
4th and Goal from the 1 (or inches) stopped
3 Missed FGs or Extra Points (from both teams combined) in a Game
Overtime
For each letter of the alphabet, at least one touchdown is scored by a player that has that letter in their first or last name
A prime number of total missed field goals + extra points
The player with the most passing yards wears a prime number
Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game
A player gets an Octopus
Scorigami
Fat Guy Touchdown*
A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury
A QB has at least 3 turnovers and at least 3 TDs (including passing)
Lateral caught at least 1 yard beyond the line of scrimmage (per gamebook) (non-last play of the game)
All Starting Rookie QBs win
A 1pm ET game is still going when a 4:25pm ET game starts
Shutout
Any Double Digit Underdog Wins
Hip Drop Tackle penalty called during any game
Highest Scoring Game of the Season (so far)*
96
89
83
78
74
73
72
72
69
59
59
55
55
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
45
45
45
41
41
41
41
37
37
31
31
29
29
19
7
5
OptionProbability
35% or higher Kick Return rate
At least one missed kicking extra point attempt
Any team scores 24+ points before halftime
Pick Six
Largest FG made is from 57+ yards out
Score as time expires in the 4th Quarter/OT
Taylor Swift in Attendance to Any Game
At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose
Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game
Any team scores 40+ points
Overtime
Safety Scored
California Teams (Chargers, Rams, 49ers) finish the week with a better record than New York State teams (Bills, Jets, Giants)
Game Winning Drive starting in the last 2 Minutes
AFC or NFC Offensive Player of the Week is a Running Back
Player Records at least 2 Interceptions in a Game
Any player throws for more than 350 yards and loses
Bird teams finish with a better record than Cat teams (Win %)
Team change in top 5 Super Bowl favorites from previous Wednesday to Wednesday after the weeks games
2 Point Conversions convert at 50% or higher for the Week
Will a championship belt change teams?*
A 4th and 11+ is converted*
At least 5 QBs throw for 300+ yards
Any player scores 3 TDs in a game (non-passing)
For each game, take the GCD of both teams' scores. Is the result for any game at least 8?
4th and Goal from the 1 (or inches) stopped
Punt or Kick Return Touchdown
A player gets an Octopus
A prime number of total missed field goals + extra points
A 1pm ET game is still going when a 4:25pm ET game starts
The player with the most passing yards wears a prime number
Fake Punt
MVP Favorite Changes by Wednesday (Josh Allen)
Fat Guy Touchdown*
All Starting Rookie QBs lose
3 Missed FGs or Extra Points (from both teams combined) in a Game
Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game
A QB has at least 2 turnovers and at least 4 TDs (including passing)
A QB has at least 3 turnovers and at least 3 TDs (including passing)
Shutout
Any Double Digit Underdog Wins
A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury
Any 400 yard passer
All Starting Rookie QBs win
For each letter of the alphabet, at least one touchdown is scored by a player that has that letter in their first or last name
A lateral more than a yard past the line of scrimmage (non-last play of the game)
Scorigami
Hip Drop Tackle penalty called during any game
Highest Scoring Game of the Season (so far)*
86
86
80
80
80
78
71
69
69
69
55
54
53
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
49
45
45
45
45
44
41
41
41
41
37
37
34
34
31
31
31
26
24
24
20
20
5
OptionProbability
35% or higher Kick Return rate
At least one missed kicking extra point attempt
Any team scores 24+ points before halftime
Largest FG made is from 57+ yards out
At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose
Score as time expires in the 4th Quarter/OT
Pick Six
Overtime
California Teams (Chargers, Rams, 49ers) finish the week with a better record than New York State teams (Bills, Jets, Giants)
A 1pm ET game is still going when a 4:25pm ET game starts
Safety Scored
Fake Punt
Game Winning Drive starting in the last 2 Minutes
Any Double Digit Underdog Wins
Player Records at least 2 Interceptions in a Game
Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game
Any player throws for more than 350 yards and loses
Bird teams finish with a better record than Cat teams (Win %)
Any 400 yard passer
Team change in top 5 Super Bowl favorites from previous Wednesday to Wednesday after the weeks games
2 Point Conversions convert at 50% or higher for the Week
Will a championship belt change teams?*
A 4th and 11+ is converted*
At least 5 QBs throw for 300+ yards
Any player scores 3 TDs in a game (non-passing)
For each game, take the GCD of both teams' scores. Is the result for any game at least 8?
4th and Goal from the 1 (or inches) stopped
AFC or NFC Offensive Player of the Week is a Running Back
A player gets an Octopus
A prime number of total missed field goals + extra points
All Starting Rookie QBs lose
The player with the most passing yards wears a prime number
Punt or Kick Return Touchdown
MVP Favorite Changes by Wednesday (Josh Allen)
Fat Guy Touchdown*
3 Missed FGs or Extra Points (from both teams combined) in a Game
Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game
A QB has at least 2 turnovers and at least 4 TDs (including passing)
A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury
A QB has at least 3 turnovers and at least 3 TDs (including passing)
Any team scores 40+ points
For each letter of the alphabet, at least one touchdown is scored by a player that has that letter in their first or last name
A lateral more than a yard past the line of scrimmage (non-last play of the game)
All Starting Rookie QBs win
Scorigami
Shutout
Taylor Swift in Attendance to Any Game
Hip Drop Tackle penalty called during any game
Highest Scoring Game of the Season (so far)*
90
80
74
74
72
72
69
59
55
55
54
51
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
45
45
45
45
45
44
41
41
41
37
37
34
34
31
24
24
22
20
20
17
14
5
OptionProbability
Jalen Hurts
Caleb Williams
Jordan Love
Myles Garrett
Josh Allen
Lamar Jackson
Brock Purdy
Justin Jefferson
Ja’Marr Chase
Joe Burrow
C.J. Stroud
Christian McCaffrey
Justin Herbert
Trevor Lawrence
Dak Prescott
Jayden Daniels
Bijan Robinson
Tua Tagovailoa
Kirk Cousins
99
72
65
63
59
57
55
50
50
46
43
41
38
37
37
37
20
13
4
OptionVotes
YES
NO
1022
979
OptionProbability
Jackson > Allen > Hurts > Richardson
Allen > Jackson > Hurts > Richardson
Jackson > Richardson > Hurts > Allen
Jackson > Allen > Richardson > Hurts
Jackson > Richardson > Allen > Hurts
Jackson > Hurts > Richardson > Allen
Jackson > Hurts > Allen > Richardson
Hurts > Jackson > Allen > Richardson
Hurts > Jackson > Richardson > Allen
Hurts > Richardson > Jackson > Allen
Hurts > Richardson > Allen > Jackson
Hurts > Allen > Richardson > Jackson
Hurts > Allen > Jackson > Richardson
Allen > Hurts > Jackson > Richardson
Allen > Hurts > Richardson > Jackson
Allen > Richardson > Hurts > Jackson
Allen > Richardson > Jackson > Hurts
Allen > Jackson > Richardson > Hurts
Richardson > Jackson > Hurts > Allen
Richardson > Jackson > Allen > Hurts
Richardson > Allen > Jackson > Hurts
Richardson > Allen > Hurts > Jackson
Richardson > Hurts > Allen > Jackson
Richardson > Hurts > Jackson > Allen
16
9
6
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3