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OptionProbability
(2026/04/05) In the Tour de Flanders, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Mathieu van der Poel?
(2026/03/21) In the Milano-San Remo, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Mathieu van der Poel?
(2026/04/12) In the Paris-Roubaix, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Mathieu van der Poel?
(2026/04/26) In the Liege-Bastogne-Liege, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Mathieu van der Poel?
(2026/03/21) In the Milano-San Remo, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Filippo Ganna?
(2026/01/20) In the Santos Down Under Prologue, will Jay Vine outfinish Matthew Brennan?
(2026/01/22) After the 2nd stage of Santos Down Under, will Jay Vine outfinish Matthew Brennan?
(2026/01/23) After the 3rd stage of Santos Down Under, will Jay Vine outfinish Matthew Brennan?
(2026/01/24) After the 4th stage of Santos Down Under, will Jay Vine outfinish Matthew Brennan?
(2026/01/25) After the 5th stage of Santos Down Under, will Jay Vine outfinish Matthew Brennan?
(2026/01/17) After the 1st stage of the Womens' Santos Down Under, will Noemi Ruegg outfinish Neve Bradbury?
(2026/01/18) After the 2nd stage of the Womens' Santos Down Under, will Noemi Ruegg outfinish Neve Bradbury?
(2026/01/19) After the 3rd stage of the Womens' Santos Down Under, will Noemi Ruegg outfinish Neve Bradbury?
(2026/01/17) After the 1st stage of the Womens' Santos Down Under, will Amanda Spratt outfinish Mackenzie Coupland?
(2026/01/18) After the 2nd stage of the Womens' Santos Down Under, will Amanda Spratt outfinish Mackenzie Coupland?
(2026/01/19) After the 3rd stage of the Womens' Santos Down Under, will Amanda Spratt outfinish Mackenzie Coupland?
(2026/01/19) After the 3rd stage of the Womens' Santos Down Under, will Amanda Spratt outfinish Ally Wollaston?
(2026/01/19) After the 3rd stage of the Womens' Santos Down Under, will Noemi Ruegg outfinish Ally Wollaston?
(2026/01/20) In the Santos Down Under Prologue, will Jay Vine outfinish Jhonatan Narváez?
(2026/01/20) In the Santos Down Under Prologue, will Luke Plapp outfinish Ben O'Connor?
(2026/01/20) In the Santos Down Under Prologue, will Aaron Gate outfinish Adam Yates?
(2026/01/21) After the 1st stage of Santos Down Under, will Jhonathan Narvaez outfinish Jensen Plowright?
(2026/01/23) After the 3rd stage of Santos Down Under, will Jay Vine outfinish Jhonathan Narvaez?
(2026/01/23) After the 3rd stage of Santos Down Under, will Mauro Schmid outfinish Harrison Sweeny?
(2026/01/25) After the 5th stage of Santos Down Under, will Jay Vine outfinish all remaining cyclists?
(2026/01/25) After the 5th stage of Santos Down Under, will Jay Vine outfinish Mauro Schmid?
(2026/04/26) In the Liege-Bastogne-Liege, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Mattias Skjelmose?
(2026/04/26) In the Liege-Bastogne-Liege, will Remco Evenepoel outfinish Mattias Skjelmose?
(2026/05/31) In the Giro d'Italia, will Jan Christen outfinish Martin Tjotta?
(2026/05/31) In the Giro d'Italia, will Felix Gall outfinish Afonso Eulalio?
(2026/07/26) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Jasper Philipsen?
(2026/07/26) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Mathieu Van Der Poel?
(2026/07/05) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/06) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/26) In the Tour de France, will Tim Van Dijke outfinish Biniam Girmay?
(2026/07/04) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Juan Ayuso?
(2026/07/05) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Filippo Ganna?
(2026/07/26) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Filippo Ganna?
(2026/07/09) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/10) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/11) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/12) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/14) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/15) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/16) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/17) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/18) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/19) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/07) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Remco Evenepoel?
(2026/07/08) In the Tour de France, will Torsteen Traeen outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/08) In the Tour de France, will Torsteen Traeen outfinish Tadej Pogacar?
(2026/07/11) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Isaac Del Toro?
(2026/07/21) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/04) In the Tour de France, will Isaac del Toro outfinish Oscar Onley?
(2026/07/23) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/22) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/25) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/26) In the Tour de France, will Paul Sexias outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/26) In the Tour de France, will Paul Sexias outfinish Primoz Roglic?
(2026/07/26) In the Tour de France, will Filippo Ganna outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/26) In the Tour de France, will Filippo Ganna outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/26) In the Tour de France, will Mattieu Van Der Poel outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/24) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/26) In the Tour de France, will Mathias Skjelmose outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/26) In the Tour de France, will Juan Ayuso outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/26) In the Tour de France, will Jasper Philipsen outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/26) In the Tour de France, will Jasper Philipsen outfinish Jonathan Milan?
(2026/10/10) In the Il Lombardia, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Mathieu van der Poel?
(2026/07/26) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/04/26) In the Liege-Bastogne-Liege, will Mattias Skjelmose outfinish Mathieu van der Poel?
(2026/08/22) In the La Vuelta de Espana, will Wout Van Art outfinish Felix Gall?
(2026/01/20) In the Santos Down Under Prologue, will Adam Yates outfinish Jhonatan Narváez?
(2026/07/26) In the Tour de France, will Filippo Ganna outfinish Guilio Ciccone?
(2026/07/26) In the Tour de France, will Primoz Roglic outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/09/13) In the La Vuelta de Espana, will Wout Van Art outfinish Felix Gall?
(2026/08/22) In the La Vuelta de Espana, will Felix Gall outfinish Joao Almeida?
(2026/08/22) In the La Vuelta de Espana, will Max Pedersen outfinish Felix Gall?
(2026/09/13) In the La Vuelta de Espana, will Max Pedersen outfinish Felix Gall?
(2026/08/22) In the La Vuelta de Espana, will Primov Roglic outfinish Max Poole?
(2026/08/22) In the La Vuelta de Espana, will Wout Van Art outfinish Sepp Kuss?
(2026/08/22) In the La Vuelta de Espana, will Tom Pidcock outfinish Joao Almeida?
(2026/08/22) In the La Vuelta de Espana, will Wout Van Art outfinish Joao Almeida?
(2026/07/26) In the Tour de France, will Torsteen Traeen outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/10/10) In the Il Lombardia, will Filippo Ganna outfinish Mathieu van der Poel?
(2026/09/13) In the Vuelta a Espana, will Isaac Del Toro outfinish Tadej Pogacar?
(2026/07/26) In the Tour de France, will Florian Lipowitz outfinish Remco Evenepoel?
(2026/01/21) After the 1st stage of Santos Down Under, will Jay Vine outfinish Matthew Brennan?
(2026/01/18) After the 2nd stage of the Womens' Santos Down Under, will Amanda Spratt outfinish Ally Wollaston?
(2026/01/18) After the 2nd stage of the Womens' Santos Down Under, will Mackenzie Coupland outfinish Ally Wollaston?
(2026/01/20) In the Santos Down Under Prologue, will Adam Yates outfinish Ben O'Connor?
(2026/01/20) In the Santos Down Under Prologue, will Corbin Strong outfinish Ben O'Connor?
(2026/01/20) In the Santos Down Under Prologue, will Corbin Strong outfinish Adam Yates?
(2026/01/20) In the Santos Down Under Prologue, will Nicolas Prodhomme outfinish Adam Yates?
(2026/01/20) In the Santos Down Under Prologue, will Corbin Strong outfinish Andrea Bagioli?
(2026/01/21) After the 1st stage of Santos Down Under, will Jay Vine outfinish Samuel Watson?
(2026/01/21) After the 1st stage of Santos Down Under, will Jhonathan Narvaez outfinish Matthew Brennan?
(2026/01/23) After the 3rd stage of Santos Down Under, will Mauro Schmid outfinish Jhonathan Narvaez?
(2026/01/23) After the 3rd stage of Santos Down Under, will Marco Brenner outfinish Harrison Sweeny?
(2026/03/21) In the Milano-San Remo, will Jasper Philipsen outfinish Wout Van Aert?
(2026/03/21) In the Milano-San Remo, will Mads Pedersen outfinish Wout Van Aert?
(2026/03/21) In the Milano-San Remo, will Jasper Philipsen outfinish Mads Pedersen?
(2026/03/21) In the Milano-San Remo, will Jasper Philipsen outfinish Filippo Ganna?
(2026/04/05) In the Tour de Flanders, will Wout van Aert outfinish Mathieu van der Poel?
(2026/04/26) In the Liege-Bastogne-Liege, will Mattias Skjelmose outfinish Pello Bilbao?
(2026/05/31) In the Giro d'Italia, will Guillermo Thomas Silva outfinish Egan Bernal?
(2026/05/30) In the Giro d'Italia, will Guillermo Thomas Silva outfinish Egan Bernal?
(2026/05/31) In the Giro d'Italia, will Jan Christen outfinish Egan Bernal?
(2026/07/04) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/04) In the Tour de France, will Paul Sexias outfinish Florian Lipowitz?
(2026/06/07) In the Giro d'Italia Women, will Elisa Balsamo outfinish Lara Gillespie?
(2026/07/26) In the Tour de France, will Mattieu Van Der Poel outfinish Juan Ayuso?
(2026/07/05) In the Tour de France, will Filippo Ganna outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/05) In the Tour de France, will Juan Ayusa outfinish Remco Evenepoel?
(2026/07/26) In the Tour de France, will Juan Ayusa outfinish Remco Evenepoel?
(2026/07/07) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/08) In the Tour de France, will Tadej Pogačar outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/05) In the Tour de France, will Florian Lipowitz outfinish Remco Evenepoel?
(2026/07/06) In the Tour de France, will Florian Lipowitz outfinish Remco Evenepoel?
(2026/07/25) In the Tour de France, will Florian Lipowitz outfinish Remco Evenepoel?
(2026/07/06) In the Tour de France, will Isaac Del Toro outfinish Tadej Pogacar?
(2026/07/26) In the Tour de France, will Isaac Del Toro outfinish Tadej Pogacar?
(2026/07/06) In the Tour de France, will Mathias Skjelmose outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/07) In the Tour de France, will Remco Evenepoel outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/26) In the Tour de France, will Paul Sexias outfinish Richard Carapaz?
(2026/07/26) In the Tour de France, will Torsteen Traeen outfinish Tadej Pogacar?
(2026/07/11) In the Tour de France, will Isaac Del Toro outfinish Jonas Vingegaard?
(2026/07/26) In the Tour de France, will Isaac Del Toro outfinish Remco Evenepoel?
(2026/07/26) In the Tour de France, will Paul Sexias outfinish Isaac Del Toro?
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
99
96
96
95
95
94
94
94
93
92
92
91
90
89
86
81
81
69
55
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
47
45
43
41
34
11
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Marine Le Pen
Édouard Philippe
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
Gabriel Attal
Jordan Bardella
Dominique de Villepin
Other
François Ruffin
Bruno Retailleau
Raphaël Glucksmann
François Hollande
Olivier Faure
Gérald Darmanin
Bernard Cazeneuve
Christine Lagarde
Sarah Knafo
Éric Zemmour
Sébastien Lecornu
Juan Branco
Emmanuel Macron
François Fillon
Laurent Wauquiez
Bruno Le Maire
François Bayrou
Nathalie Arthaud
Someone not on this list
Élisabeth Borne
Gérard Larcher
Rachida Dati
Marine Tondelier
26
26
11
6
6
5
4
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Pete Crow-Armstrong
Shohei Ohtani
Other
Juan Soto
Kyle Schwarber
Corbin Carroll
Andy Pages
Ronald Acuña Jr.
Rafael Devers
Paul Skenes
Elly De La Cruz
Francisco Lindor
51
42
2
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
[Uno-X] 4 or more WorldTour victories
[Decathlon] 6 or more WorldTour victories
[Decathlon] Paul Seixas podiums Liege-Bastogne-Liege
[Alpecin] Jasper Philipsen wins Gent-Wevelgem
[Visma] Sepp Kuss finishes better than Jonas Vingegaard at the Tour de France
[Visma] Wilco Kelderman wins a race
[Lidl-Trek] Do not podium any Grand Tour GC
[Decathlon] Top 6 in the UCI rankings in 2026
[UAE] 40 or more WorldTour victories
[FDJ-Suez] Demi Vollering scores the most UCI points of any woman in 2026
[Lotto-Intermarche] 13 or more victories (.1 or higher)
[Uno-X] Do not finish in the top 10 of any Grand Tour GC
[Lidl-Trek] Mattias Skjelmose leaves the team before the end of 2026
[Ineos] Sam Welsford wins 4 times as many races (or more) as Arne Marit
[Soudal-Quickstep] 15 or more WorldTour victories
[Lotto-Intermarche] 4 or more WorldTour victories
[Red Bull-BORA] Finish on the podium in GC in all three Grand Tours
[Decathlon] Olav Kooij wins 4 or more WorldTour races
[Decathlon] Paul Seixas wins Il Lombardia
[Uno-X] Jonas Abrahamsen wins 2 or more Grand Tour stages
[Visma] Matthew Brennan wins 3 Vuelta stages + the green jersey
[Red Bull-BORA] 15 or more WorldTour victories
[Ineos] Joshua Tarling wins more time trials than Remco Evenepoel
[Lidl-Trek] 3rd in UCI points for the 2026 season
[Lidl-Trek] Juan Ayuso podiums the Vuelta a España GC
[Lidl-Trek] 23 or more WorldTour victories
[NSN] Biniam Girmay wins a 1.UWT race
[Uno-X] Johannes Kulset scores 1000 or more UCI points
[Ineos] Egan Bernal and Brandon Rivera sign with Movistar before EOY 2026
[UAE] Antonio Morgado podiums a 1.UWT classic race
[Uno-X] Adne Holter scores 1000 or more UCI points
[Visma] A French rider on Visma wins a WorldTour stage race GC
[Red Bull-BORA] Laurence Pithie podiums a Monument
[Red Bull-BORA] Florian Lipowitz places better than Remco Evenepoel at the Tour de France
[Lidl-Trek] Mathias Vacek wins a cobbled classic
[Lidl-Trek] Mads Pedersen does not win a WorldTour race
[Decathlon] Paul Seixas podiums the Giro d'Italia
[Decathlon] Win a stage in all three Grand Tours
[Soudal-Quickstep] Gianmarco Garofoli wins a Giro d'Italia stage
[Soudal-Quickstep] Gianmarco Garofoli wins the King of the Mountains at the Giro d'Italia
[Soudal-Quickstep] Ilan van Wilder has a better average finishing position than Remco Evenepoel in the Ardennes classics (Amstel, Fleche, LBL)
[Alpecin] Win the points classification in two Grand Tours
[UAE] Tadej Pogacar wins all five Monuments
[NSN] Corbin Strong podiums Liege-Bastogne-Liege
[Visma] Bruno Armirail wins a Tour de France stage
[Visma] Timo Kielich finishes in the top 5 at Paris-Roubaix
[Visma] Matthew Brennan wins Milan-San Remo
100
100
100
100
100
100
85
83
74
73
65
57
31
29
28
24
23
23
21
19
18
17
17
16
15
13
10
9
9
8
5
5
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Shohei Ohtani
Other
Juan Soto
Paul Skenes
55
43
1
1
OptionProbability
Paul Seixas
Isaac del Toro
Florian Lipowitz
Joao Almeida
Juan Ayuso
Oscar Onley
Felix Gall
Thymen Arensman
Cian Uijtdebroeks
Pablo Torres
Carlos Rodriguez
Ben O'Connor
Mattias Skjelmose
Antonio Tiberi
Joseph Blackmore
79
71
60
54
42
28
18
16
15
14
10
9
7
7
3
OptionProbability
Paul Seixas
Remco Evenepoel
Other
Isaac de Torro
Florian Lipowitz
Juan Ayuso
Cian Uijtdebroeks
Mathieu van der Poel
29
27
21
13
5
4
2
1
OptionProbability
Javier Milei
Axel Kicillof
Juan Grabois
Other
Mauricio Macri
Máximo Kirchner
Juan Schiaretti
51
35
5
5
3
1
1
OptionProbability
Rebeca Grynspan [high-level UN official and former vice president of Costa Rica]
Rafael Grossi [Argentinian diplomat - director general of the International Atomic Energy Agency]
Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés [former president of the UN General Assembly and former minister of Ecuador]
Michelle Bachelet [former UN High Commissioner for Human Rights and President of Chile]
Other
Mia Mottley [Prime Minister of Barbados]
Juan Manuel Santos [former Colombian president – a Nobel peace Prize laureate]
Alicia Bárcena [Mexico’s foreign affairs secretary]
Jacinda Ardern (Former Prime Minister of New Zealand)
44
27
11
8
6
2
1
1
1
OptionProbability
Las Vegas, NV (see description)
Salt Lake City, UT
Nashville, TN
Charlotte, NC
Portland, OR
Montreal, QC
San Antonio, TX
Austin, TX
Raleigh, NC
Sacramento, CA
Indianapolis, IN
Orlando, FL
Oakland, CA (see description)
San Juan, Puerto Rico
Monterrey, Mexico
95
89
63
55
50
37
25
25
24
24
23
18
14
14
14
OptionProbability
Sara Hernandez
Sarah Rascón
Wendy Carrillo
Maebe A. Girl (Maebe Pudlo)
Other
Juan Camacho
72
10
9
4
3
2
OptionProbability
Jimmy Carter
mymango
Juan Vicente Perez Mora
Clint Eastwood
Keir Dullea
Gary Lockwood
Shi Ping
Dick van Dyke
Raul Castro
Dick Cheney
Stanley Baxter
Michael J. Fox
Other
19
17
12
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
