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Prediction markets for Julie Chang

Will OpenAI achieve "very high level of confidence" in their "Superalignment" solutions by 2027-07-06?

Jul 5, 9:39 PMJul 5, 9:59 PM

3.01%chance

6937642

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4564

716

At the end of the next 30 days, starting from today (June 7 2026), how many blocks will be broken on mysterybox.art ?

Jun 6, 5:54 AMJun 6, 7:59 PM

3235425

OptionProbability

10-99

100-999

Above 1000

0 - 9

54

26

12

8

If the Texas GOP succeeds in redistricting, will they gain seats in the midterms?

Jul 21, 11:15 AMNov 8, 12:14 PM

84%chance

2914019

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2291

436

Will Donald Trump be the Republican nominee in 2028?

Jul 7, 10:03 AMJun 30, 10:59 PM

7.58%chance

276518

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1471

925

Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins 10%+ of vote for a Congressional seat in 2026?

Jul 10, 1:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.97%chance

204790

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4917

203

League of Legends roster changes before July

Apr 9, 5:18 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

63183

OptionProbability

Nongshim RedForce

Invictus Gaming

KT Rolster

Ninjas in Pyjamas

Top Esports

T1

Gen.G

Hanwha Life Esports

Bilibili Gaming

100

100

42

29

8

5

5

3

1

Federal Reserve FOMC decision in July 2026? [2k added subsidy]

Jun 23, 3:43 PMJul 30, 11:59 PM

62346

OptionProbability

No change

25 bps increase

25 bps decrease

50 bps increase

70

20

5

5

Will data centres consume more than 10% of global electricity usage for the year 2030?

Mar 24, 5:16 PMDec 31, 12:00 PM

52.02%chance

231487

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1232

698

Will Texas pass California in population by 2030?

Aug 7, 2:23 PMFeb 8, 5:59 AM

13.28%chance

251473

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1252

942

Will the advance estimate of Q2 2026 U.S. real GDP growth be at least 2.0%?

Jun 11, 5:16 AMJul 30, 12:25 PM

79.99%chance

3157

OptionVotes

NO

YES

202

47

Will Skyler Vox top 750,000,000 Video views On Pornhub by end of July 17th 2026?

Feb 8, 2:53 PMJul 17, 11:59 PM

57.37%chance

216

OptionVotes

NO

YES

116

86

Will the July 2026 U.S. labor force participation rate be at least 62.0%?

Jun 15, 10:16 AMAug 7, 12:25 PM

29.03%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

96

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