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Prediction markets for Julie Su

Mojtaba Khamenei Supreme Leader of Iran on July 1st, 2026

Mar 3, 9:15 PMJul 1, 12:00 AM

38.89%chance

251833

OptionVotes

YES

NO

125

80

Will another NYC subway station permanently close before July 1st 2027, which will be 10 years since the last closure?

Nov 29, 5:12 PMJul 2, 3:59 AM

9.53%chance

161365

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2225

774

Will Claude Code support the .agents/skills/ standard before July?

Mar 1, 9:08 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

67.21%chance

161014

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1432

699

Will Tesla announce the “Model 2” (sub-$30k EV) before July 1, 2026?

Nov 27, 2:48 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

2%chance

11973

OptionVotes

YES

NO

699

14

Will Kevin Durant be a Phoenix Suns player on July 1st 2026?

May 4, 9:32 PMJul 2, 3:59 AM

1.43%chance

8898

OptionVotes

YES

NO

830

12

Will Coca-Cola still primarily use corn syrup instead of cane sugar in July 2026?

Jul 22, 2:00 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

94.37%chance

21654

OptionVotes

NO

YES

409

24

What will One Nation's support be on the 1st of July 2026?

Jan 30, 9:36 AMJul 1, 9:36 AM

2630

OptionProbability

20 - 24 %

25 - 29 %

15 - 19 %

Below 15%

30 - 34 %

Above 35%

25

22

20

15

12

5

Will GPT-5.3-Codex (or successor) independently fix a critical security vulnerability in its own code by July 1, 2026?

Feb 8, 4:02 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

10%chance

5530

OptionVotes

YES

NO

300

33

Will evidence supporting the existence of a primordial black hole in the outer solar system be published by July 2026?

May 1, 2:37 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

4.05%chance

9426

OptionVotes

YES

NO

487

21

Will Glencore's Congo deal result in a 2% increase in global copper supply by July 2026?

Feb 17, 12:02 PMFeb 17, 12:02 PM

21.63%chance

2127

OptionVotes

YES

NO

190

53

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