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Julie Su News

Will Claude Code support the .agents/skills/ standard before July?

Mar 1, 9:08 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

6.32%chance

244595

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3850

260

Mojtaba Khamenei Supreme Leader of Iran on July 1st, 2026

Mar 3, 9:15 PMJul 1, 12:00 AM

98.68%chance

354105

OptionVotes

NO

YES

865

12

What will One Nation's support be on the 1st of July 2026?

Jan 30, 9:36 AMJul 1, 9:36 AM

42569

OptionProbability

30 - 34 %

25 - 29 %

Above 35%

20 - 24 %

15 - 19 %

Below 15%

42

35

12

5

4

3

Federal Reserve FOMC decision in July 2026? [2k added subsidy]

Jun 23, 3:43 PMJul 30, 11:59 PM

62346

OptionProbability

No change

25 bps increase

25 bps decrease

50 bps increase

70

20

5

5

Will another NYC subway station permanently close before July 1st 2027, which will be 10 years since the last closure?

Nov 29, 5:12 PMJul 2, 3:59 AM

9.53%chance

161365

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2225

774

Will Coca-Cola still primarily use corn syrup instead of cane sugar in July 2026?

Jul 22, 2:00 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

97.33%chance

23871

OptionVotes

NO

YES

604

17

Will Iran agree to suspend uranium enrichment for at least 12 months by July 31, 2026?

Apr 29, 8:54 AMJul 31, 10:00 PM

10%chance

16560

OptionVotes

YES

NO

148

93

Will GPT-5.3-Codex (or successor) independently fix a critical security vulnerability in its own code by July 1, 2026?

Feb 8, 4:02 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

9.1%chance

7546

OptionVotes

YES

NO

316

32

Will evidence supporting the existence of a primordial black hole in the outer solar system be published by July 2026?

May 1, 2:37 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

3.41%chance

11471

OptionVotes

YES

NO

532

19

Will Glencore's Congo deal result in a 2% increase in global copper supply by July 2026?

Feb 17, 12:02 PMFeb 17, 12:02 PM

10.61%chance

3227

OptionVotes

YES

NO

290

34

What will be the sum of my AP scores releasing this July?

Jun 6, 2:49 AMJul 6, 11:59 PM

6202

OptionProbability

24

25

23

22

21

20 or under

31

23

15

14

10

7

How many submissions to Arxiv will there be in July 2026?

Jun 17, 12:16 PMJun 17, 3:59 PM

264

OptionProbability

25,000 - 26,999

27,000 - 28,999

29,000 - 30,999

31,000 - 32,999

33,000 - 35,000

Below 25,000

Above 35,000

16

16

16

16

15

10

10

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