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Prediction markets for Jun

Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by Jun 2029?

Feb 7, 10:14 PMMay 31, 4:59 AM

26.61%chance

253726

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1390

805

Will Ethereum reach $100,000 by Jun 2029?

Feb 7, 11:15 PMMay 31, 4:59 AM

5.52%chance

14757

OptionVotes

YES

NO

635

94

Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 0.4 GWh by Jun 2026?

Feb 10, 9:31 PMJun 30, 4:00 AM

35.76%chance

7653

OptionVotes

YES

NO

134

75

Polymarket notional volume lower on Jun 1 than Mar 20? // Polymarket's Brier score higher on Jun 1 than Mar 20?

Mar 24, 1:43 PMJun 1, 12:00 AM

4507

OptionProbability

Volume higher // Brier score higher

Volume lower // Brier score higher

Volume higher // Brier score lower

Volume lower // Brier score lower

65

19

14

2

DLA awards tungsten stockpile purchase contract by Jun 30, 2026 following 2025 RFI?

Sep 15, 3:39 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

61.33%chance

10478

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1259

794

Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 9.0 GWh by Jun 2028?

Feb 10, 9:35 PMJun 30, 4:00 AM

56.32%chance

3136

OptionVotes

NO

YES

114

88

Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 2.5 GWh by Jun 2027?

Feb 10, 9:32 PMJun 30, 4:00 AM

55.14%chance

3126

OptionVotes

NO

YES

111

90

Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 17.0 GWh by Jun 2029?

Feb 10, 9:39 PMJun 30, 4:00 AM

78.66%chance

292

OptionVotes

NO

YES

192

52

Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 25.0 GWh by Jun 2030?

Feb 10, 9:43 PMJun 30, 4:00 AM

75.38%chance

275

OptionVotes

NO

YES

175

57

Will Commerce issue a final affirmative AD determination (A-821-840) by Jun 30, 2026?

Feb 16, 5:48 PMJul 1, 5:48 PM

76.72%chance

273

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1073

977

Will at least one US private credit fund with >$1 billion in AUM announce it is closing to new investors by Jun 15, 2026

Mar 16, 10:48 AMApr 30, 10:48 AM

71.87%chance

270

OptionVotes

NO

YES

150

72

Will a spokesperson for the PRC Ministry of National Defense confirm that Dong Jun is under investigation by this date?

Dec 16, 9:30 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

215

OptionProbability

January 1st 2026

January 1st 2027

January 1st 2028

July 1st 2025

50

50

50

28

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