Justin Trudeau News

Elon Musk

Bill Gates

Jeff Bezos

Other

Barack Obama

Mr. Beast

Robert Caro

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

JD Vance

Sam Altman

Gwern Branwen

roon

Geoffrey Hinton

Leonardo DiCaprio

Ilya Sutskever

Jensen Huang

Peter Thiel

No one, the tweet was a joke or intended to attract advertisers without referring to someone specific

Sarah Paine

Satya Nadella

Justin Trudeau

Brian Shaw (_biggest_ guest yet?)

Narendra Modi

Xi Jinping

Dalai Lama

Buffett

Taylor Swift

Joe Biden

Lebron James

GPT-5

Bill Clinton

A basketball player

Vladimir Putin

Benjamin Netanyahu

Jesus Christ

Rona Wang

Jose Luis ricon

Kettner Griswold

James Koppel

Sam Bankman-Fried

Nancy Pelosi

Rishi Sunak

Keir Starmer

Satoshi Nakomoto

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Jimmy Carter

George W Bush

Al Gore

Michael Jackson

your mom

Mitt Romney

one or both of his parents

A new OpenAI AI model not called "GPT-5"

Connor Duffy

MBS

pope Francis

Scott Alexander

The Mountain (Icelandic strongman)

RFK Jr

Sydney Sweeney

growing_daniel

greg16676935420

Deadpool

Terence Tao

Shaq

Oprah Winfrey

Yoshua Bengio

Sundar Pichai

Scarlett Johansson

Paul McCartney

[duplicate]

Neel Nanda

King Charles

Kim Jong Un

Gavin Newsom

Royal Palace

[cancelled option]

Daniel Yergin

Peter Singer

Gabe Newell

Neil Gorsuch

Stephen Breyer

Dmitry Medvedev

JK Rowling

Shrek

Sam Hyde

[invalid answer] Multiple people e.g. a team from OpenAI

Marques Brownlee

Vivek Ramaswamy

Donald Trump Jr.

Ben Shindel

Javier Milei

Dylan Patel

Joe Rogan

Marc Andreessen

Tim Cook

Mike Tyson

Jake Paul

The Jews control at least one nation's government

Imane Khelif is intersex

The P320 pistol has a design flaw allowing it to fire without pulling the trigger

Orgies by the wealthy elite as portrayed in 'Eyes Wide Shut'.

Orgies by the fucked-up poors as portrayed in "Eyes Wide Shut XXX" (2013)

The UK security services are complicit in the coverup of a significant underage sex scandal closely linked to the monarchy, taking place in the UK in the period 1975-2015

DHMO in the water supply

Dream faked the Manhunt videos

Osama bin Laden didn't act alone

Santa is rigged

That motherfucker WAS real (Tiffany Gomas was wrong the whole time)

√-1 isn't real

Smartphones listen in on private conversations

The CCP has a plan to exterminate a large number of people they consider to not be ethnically Chinese

The 1% promoted culture wars to distract from class war

Lionel Messi never played for a Real football (soccer) team

US security services use the Google Play Store as an attack vector for android devices

Atrazine works as an endocrine-disrupting chemical (EDC), converting testosterone to estrogen in the bodies of frogs leading to homosexual proclivities.

ASI will converge on agreeing (90%+ credence) that the Self-Indication Assumption is true.

The Church and elites deliberately suppressed and distorted the more Gnostic message of Jesus Christ.

Joe/Hunter Biden took bribe to protect Burisma from investigation

Groundhog Day is rigged

That stock trading AI supposedly built by @SteveSokolowski is actually part of an elaborate scam

Ticketmaster is in cahoots with organized scalpers

Annie Altman's abuse claims

Major deaths, terror, and tragedy events are routinely hoaxes per Miles Mathis.

Gamergate was right

Dead Internet theory

Some answers in this market are psyops to discredit all the others

The NBA rigs the draft lottery

The CCP is directly supporting drug cartel activity in the West

Germany has a well-prepared plan (in 2024-) to start mass producing nuclear weapons in <6 months (in case things go bad geopolitically)

Tiffany Gomas is not the same person as the TMINR lady in the video. She is a PSYOP for Barstool.

Trump committed sex offenses against minors on Epstein Island

An adversary is intentionally causing hysteria over drone incidents to force the US/UK's hand into revealing their anti-drone tech

@strutheo is @notrickspringfield

There are devices which have been used to alter the electric network frequency of a country in the Middle East to leave more identifiable traces in recorded video and audio clips

John McAfee didn't kill himself

At least 3 of the members elected to the French lower house of Parliament in 2024 are Russian agents

The Obamas have a loveless marriage, kept together for optics only

Bielefeld does not exist, but another city with the same name in the same place does

Smart devices are almost always listening to your private conversations

This one makes me feel evil, so I ROT13'd it, use ROT13 to decode if you want to keep me company in Hell: Ybh Truevt'f ergverzrag jnf npghnyyl na ZYO-znaqngrq fhfcrafvba

Eliezer wrote The Erogamer

The US/UK/French security services are sinking Russian ships in response to attacks on undersea cables and other hybrid warfare activities (since 2022)

Deepwater Horizon explosion due to sabotage

China made covid 19 in a lab

Eating your veggies is bad for your health

Rory Stewart worked for MI6

At least one UN recognised country is secretly controlled by a cabal following a religion shared by <5% of the country's population

Jeffrey Epstein didn't kill himself

The US, UK and French security services have collectively assassinated at least 10 German citizens in Germany since 2022

Covid was a deliberate test of pandemic preparedness in view of bacteriological war between China and the US

FDR deliberately left Pearl Harbor vulnerable, in order to goad Americans into war

The article "Deliberate Errors" documenting winks connecting Apollo and Kubrick films is correct, because Kubrick played a role in filming some of the Apollo missions.

The Romance languages are not descended from Classical Latin

As of June 2025, JD Vance is secretly making plans to use future ASI to sieze power and become eternal world dictator

Shakespeare didn’t write his own plays

My dog went to live on farm that was full of other dogs that he could run with and play with and he was much happier than staying with us and peeing on the rug.

The American govt is actually a totalitarian dictatorship

Youssoufa Moukoko (soccer player) was born earlier than he claims (earlier than 2004)

The Clintons assasinated their rivals

China was not genociding Uyghurs

Michael Jordan's first NBA retirement was actually a forced suspension.

Bitcoin was created by a US three letter agency

lɐǝɹ ʇ,usᴉ ɐᴉlɐɹʇsn∀

The U.S. military is the number one customer of Glitterex (a glitter company) but doesn't want anyone to know because it hurts their masculine image.

Many vaccines on the standard CDC childhood immunization schedule have serious negative side effects (net negative on health) for at least 5% of the population.

Aluminum cookware actually *does* cause Alzheimers.

Hellenistic scientists could derive the correct refraction law by minimizing light travel time

Marilyn Manson had a rib removed in the late 1990s

Charles Manson had a rib removed in the late 1990s

Members of US government had prior knowledge of 9/11 and let it happen

ASI will converge on agreeing (90%+ credence) that Trump/Musk model the first/second beast of Revelation.

Hellenistic science developed statistical mechanics to the point of being able to derive PV=nRT

A pharma company has a much better treatment for cancer that they are keeping secret because it would compete with their existing products

The Hellenistic civilization was aware of the existence of Azeroth

Sue Gray was a spy

Dominic Cummings was/is a Russian spy

We live in an ancestor simulation per Nick Bostrom.

Non-human intelligence affecting events on Earth is not extraterrestrial "aliens," and humans are incorrect in believing that reality consists only of the Universe.

covid-19 vaccine is net negative for health for people who are under 35, with no aggravating condition, and not obese

The 1% promoted class war to distract from culture wars

The 9/11 terror attack date is meaningfully connected to Ernest Martin's theory that Jesus was born on September 11, 3 BC rather than a coincidence.

Ogopogo and the Yeti faked their relationship (to boost CFL ratings, to increase Taylor Swift's movie sales, support Trudeau's reelection, b/c Ogopogo is PSY, etc.)

The Hawk Tuah meme is a North Korean psyop

The CIA killed JFK

Lee Harvey Oswald didn't act alone.

The hellenistic civilization was aware of the existence of the American continent

The pharma industry has a better version of Viagra that they keep secret to keep their profits up

Finno-Korean Hyperwar was real

"Geoterrorism" (weather modification for terrorism) is real as of 2024

The NFL is rigged

The New Zealand government had advance knowledge of the sinking of the Rainbow Warrior

Hellenistic science advanced meta-thermodynamics to derive 𝑄 = 𝑛𝐶Δ𝑇(1 + 𝐻⊙⋆) using the Holtzman Generator

US security services asked Microsoft to buy Skype and alter the software so they could target users more easily

Elon Musk used Starlink to rig the 2024 election

Circa 1920 civilizational collapse (c.f. "Whither Tartaria?")

Covid 19 was made in a labradoodle

A cure for cancer has already been found

Jet fuel *can* melt steel beams, but the official 9/11 narrative is sus because chemtrail chemicals cannot

South Korea has had nuclear weapons since 2023

Harold Holt murdered

Trump and Netanyahu had Charlie Kirk killed to take control of TPUSA

COVID-19 vaccine is net negative for health

Biden and/or US govt did Jan 6 (exclude trump)

The NBA rigged Shaq's free throws

Skin cancer is caused by a lack of melanin, regardless of sunlight exposure

Hellenistic scientists could derive the correct warp-induced refraction law by exceeding Warp Factor 9 under Cochrane’s Theorem

Ogopogo is real

QAnon

Exercise is bad for your health

A support network of close friendships is bad for your health

Israel killed JFK

Trump devolved the government in anticipation of 2020 election fraud and replaced Biden with an actor wearing a mask.

Shakespeare is not real - they claim he was married to Anne Hathaway but she's like only 40 or so

Allen Iverson invented A.I.

The government iodizes the water and fluoridates salt when it should be the other way around

Bitcoin was created by a 3 letter Hellenistic agency

Bush did 9/11

Airplane trails have toxic chemicals (chemtrails)

carbon dioxide isn't the main cause of global warming

Princess Diana was assassinated

QR codes are satanic

Mossad releases video and audio clips, intended to be of interest to their adversaries, which play special sounds that humans don't notice

Mossad uses Hellenistic technology borrowed from the North Sentinelese

Xi Jinping had advance knowledge of the Hawk Tuah meme

China purposely spread covid 19 having intended it to escape the lab

Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce faked their relationship (to boost NFL ratings, to increase Tay's movie sales, legitimize mRNA vaccines, b/c she is a PSYOP, etc.)

Human didnt evolve from apes

Getting 8 hours of sleep is bad for your health

Tom Brady's retirement was actually an NFL mandated suspension

Hitler killed himself because the alternative was going to Argentina

Jerry Sandusky is innocent.

Skin cancer is caused by sunblock, not sunlight

Hellenistic science knew of quantum mechanics

Lee Harvey Oswald was an agent of the Hellenistic Civilization

South Sudan has had nukes since 2023

Famous Israeli agent Eisseberg was behind the sinking of the Titanic

xkcd 690: on 9/11, one of the towers was hit by a plane and the other was a controlled demolition

@HenriThunberg was paid to create the James Bond market to promote the upcoming movie

Marilyn Monroe had a rib removed in the late 1990s

Rationalussy isn't real.

Chinese people really *are* just saying the n-word.

Tupac is still alive in 2024

Bielefeld does not exist

The 2020 US presidential election was rigged/stolen

Walt Disney was cryogenically frozen, and they made the movie Frozen so that when people googled 'Walt Disney Frozen' the movie would come up first

The Mandella Effect in general is real

The Hellenistic Civilization made COVID-19 in a lab

The North Sentinelese have a non-secret aircraft carrier, they have announced it to the world loud and clear. Problem is: nobody speaks their language.

US government is harboring aliens

Monica Lewinsky was a Mossad agent

Birds aren't real

climate change isn't human caused

Effective Altruism is a scam and they just embezzle all the donations

Jeffrey Epstein is still alive

Tiger Woods is a militant separatist Tamil

The Hellenistic civilization invented USB

The North Sentinelese have a secret aircraft carrier

Hurricane Katrina caused by HAARP

Climate change isn’t real

The moon landing was fake

The CIA killed Tupac, and JFK is still alive as of 2024

You personally live in Truman Show style captivity

The Romance languages are not descended from Latin

The North Sentinelese are remnants of the Hellenistic civilization

The 9/11 terror attack was a justified false flag to secure a weapon of mass destruction (destabalizing religious text and/or supertechnology) at the tomb of Gilgamesh.

The illuminati runs the world

*All* health care is net negative for health

Michelle Obama is a man

Brazilian money is not real

Yeti is real or similar creature

Hitler didn't kill himself he went to Argentina

The earth is a dodecahedron

Skibidi Toilet is real

Q is Putin

It used to be spelled Berenstein Bears

Africa isn't real

Christiano Ronaldo never played for a Real football (soccer) team

There is no female orgasm

The North Sentinelese are concealing super-advanced technology.

The earth is flat

*All* vaccines are net negative for health

End of the world in 2012

Earth is hollow

Justin Trudeau is actually Black and has been wearing "whiteface" all along.

Finland isn't real

Australia isn't real.

5G will kill all vaccinated people once the towers are switched on

Nuclear weapons have never existed

Flossing is bad for your health

Brushing your teeth is bad for your health

HIV doesn’t cause AIDS

Taylor Swift and Mary Berg are the same person

The Epcot sphere was built by aliens as some sort of energy device powering the rat empire.

Mark Carney

Pierre Poilievre

Other

Doug Ford

Heather McPherson

Jason Kenney

Caroline Mulroney

Avi Lewis

YES

Julia Galef

Scott Alexander

Zvi Mowshowitz

Paul Christiano

Peter Singer

Randall Munroe

Josh Shapiro

Dwarkesh Patel

Jon Stewart

@SemioticRivalry

Gretchen Whitmer

Eliezer Yudkowsky

Michelle Obama

Sam Wendover

Spencer Greenberg

Tammy Duckworth

Emmanuel Macron

Andrew Yang

Andy Beshear

Jared Polis

Manifold Joshua

J. B. Pritzker

Satya Nadella

Aella

Katie Porter

Andrew Wiles

Gavin Newsom

@Mira

Garry Kasparov

MrBeast

William Mc Askill

Vermin Supreme

Eric Schmidt

Magnus Carlsen

Bill Gates

Raphael Warnock

Mark Cuban

Justin Trudeau

Bernie Sanders

Gordon Ramsay

@strutheo

Bryan Caplan

Ursula von der Leyen

Bill Maher

Linus Torvalds

Manifold James

Sam Altman

Michael Bloomberg

Al Gore

Bryan Cranston

Kathy Hochul

Cory Booker

Blake Huber

Taylor Swift

Mitt Romney

A randomly selected active Manifold user

Manifold Austin

Jose Luis Ricon

Warren Buffett

Keanu Reeves

Ray William Johnson

Cory Doctorow

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

LeBron James

Kamala Harris

Zach Robinson

Nikil Saval

Ding Liren

@ZacParker

SCP-999

Stannis Baratheon

Alexandr Wang

Cao Cao

Liu Bei

Tim Cook

Jeff Bezos

Hillary Clinton

Chuck Norris

Destiny

Guillaume Verdon

Emma Watson

Oprah

Rick Astley

Peter Thiel

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Jimmy Carter

Anatoly Karpov

Rishi Sunak

Anthony Fantano

Javier Milei

Nikki Haley

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Sundar Pichai

Brian Tomasik

Lionel Messi

Cristiano Ronaldo

Mark Zuckerberg

Prince Harry

Jeb "Please Clap" Bush

Hunter Biden

Liz Cheney

Vivek Ramaswamy

Elon Musk

Yann Lecun

A randomly selected banned Manifold user

Joe Rogan

Tucker Carlson

Ivanka Trump

Jordan Peterson

Ben Shapiro

Sam Bankman-Fried

YES

Other

Donald Trump

Yulia Navalnaya

UNRWA

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Greta Thunberg

MSF / Doctors without Borders

Vladimir Putin

Bill Gates / Gates Foundation

The International Court of Justice

UNESCO

Philippe Lazzarini

Joe Biden

Alexei Navalny

Kyaw Moe Tun

José Andrés

World Uyghur Congress

Maria Corina Machado

Eliezer Yudkowsky

OSCE Office for Democratic Institutions and Human Rights

Timnit Gebru

Elon Musk

NATO

Netanyahu

JD Vance

AOC

Antonio Guterres

Julian Assange

David Attenborough

Pope Francis

Ursula von der Leyen

Keir Starmer

European Union

Ilham Tohti

Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya

International Court of Justice

Jacinda Ardern

Raoni Metuktire

José Andrés

Loujain al-Hathloul

Ilwad Elman

Wa Lone

Narendra Modi

Yvonne Ridley

Hajer Sharief

Alexis Tsipras

Isaias Afwerki

Nathan Law

Agnes Chow

Filippo Grandi

Yuan Longping

Mahbouba Seraj

Narges Mohammadi

Victoria Tauli-Corpuz

Juan Carlos Jintiach

Joshua Wong

Ernest Moniz

DOGE

Kamala Harris

Noam Chomsky

International Fact-Checking Network

Manifold Markets

Justin Trudeau

Aleksandr Lukashenko

Sam Altman

Kim Jong Un

Abdullah Öcalan

Daniel Sheehan

Robert Kennedy Jr

@Krantz

Gustavo Petro

The Iranian protesters

YES

YES

YES

Elon Musk

Trump

Boris Johnson

Brad Pitt

Tom Hanks

Joe Biden

Chris Hemsworth

Rishi Sunak

Other

Chrystia Freeland

Mélanie Joly

Karina Gould

Justin Trudeau

François-Philippe Champagne

Anita Anand

Marc Garneau

Dominic LeBlanc

Sean Fraser