Justin Trudeau News
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Prediction markets for Justin Trudeau
OptionProbability
21
13
12
11
6
5
4
3
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Who will be the prime minister of Canada after the next election?
Apr 28, 10:00 PMApr 28, 9:54 PM
7847084
OptionProbability
67
16
9
3
1
1
1
1
0
Will Justin Trudeau be Canada's Prime Minister on October 10, 2026?
Sep 2, 7:17 PMOct 11, 3:59 AM
1%chance
1819748
OptionVotes
9950
101
๐ณ๏ธWho would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]
Apr 13, 5:48 PMAug 6, 3:59 AM
11619288
OptionProbability
98
96
96
95
94
94
93
93
92
91
90
89
87
87
87
85
82
82
82
78
77
76
75
74
74
73
72
72
72
72
70
69
69
68
65
65
64
63
63
63
62
62
61
60
60
59
59
59
59
59
59
59
58
57
57
57
56
56
56
54
52
52
51
51
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
49
48
47
45
45
43
43
43
43
40
40
39
37
36
36
35
35
35
34
34
34
32
32
29
28
25
24
22
21
20
17
16
16
9
8
6
6
6
๐๏ธWhich person or organization will win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]
Mar 12, 3:28 PMDec 2, 4:59 AM
5212503
OptionProbability
64
12
4
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will definitive evidence emerge that Justin Trudeau is actually Fidel Castroโs biological son?
Feb 11, 4:00 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
5.47%chance
7412365
OptionVotes
1963
1087
Will Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau get engaged and/or married by the end of 2030?
Oct 13, 3:40 PMDec 31, 4:37 PM
54%chance
275056
OptionVotes
1083
923
Will definitive evidence emerge that Justin Trudeau is actually Fidel Castroโs biological son any time through 2026?
Sep 28, 5:38 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM
3.87%chance
181442
OptionVotes
1031
959
OptionVotes
1542
943
Who will have a new #MeToo allegation made against them before they die?
May 6, 8:28 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM
13372
OptionProbability
85
59
50
50
41
40
36
26
22
Who will succeed Mark Carney as the next leader of the Liberal Party of Canada?
Mar 11, 9:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
10189
OptionProbability
45
12
8
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
Will Justin Trudeau and Katy Perry announces they are engaged by EOY 2026?
Feb 15, 5:28 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
33.55%chance
7121
OptionVotes
214
182