Kaporal News

AGI When? [High Quality Turing Test]

Mar 27, 12:37 AMMar 22, 6:59 AM

10611045043

Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?

Feb 14, 2:31 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

53.87%chance

947615089

OptionVotes

YES

10712

9233

Will Ray Kurzweil win his 2029 Turing Test bet with Mitchell Kapor?

Feb 18, 8:14 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

54.54%chance

6311679

OptionVotes

YES

1000

937

At the end of 2026 what will be the oldest Manifold market that is still open? [ADD RESPONSES]

Mar 10, 11:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

61739

OptionProbability

Will circular economy become mainstream in 20 years? https://manifold.markets/CeceliaChuh/will-circular-economy-become-mainst

Other

Will there be US Constitutional reform by 2027? https://manifold.markets/PaulElliottWilliams/will-there-be-us-constitutional-ref

Will Ray Kurzweil win his 2029 Turing Test bet with Mitchell Kapor? https://manifold.markets/MatthewBarnett/will-ray-kurzweil-win-his-2029-turi

If Kamala Harris becomes the Democratic nominee, will she win the 2024 election? https://manifold.markets/Tetraspace/if-kamala-harris-becomes-the-democr

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AGI When? [High Quality Turing Test]

Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?

Will Ray Kurzweil win his 2029 Turing Test bet with Mitchell Kapor?

At the end of 2026 what will be the oldest Manifold market that is still open? [ADD RESPONSES]

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