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Prediction markets for Karpathy

Will Andrej Karpathy leave Anthropic in 2026?

May 21, 9:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.28%chance

203585

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3127

320

Andrej Karpathy's Eureka Labs valued at >$1B by end of 2027?

Oct 18, 9:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.1%chance

161816

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2283

438

Andrej Karpathy and Elon back working together by mid 2028

Nov 13, 8:02 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

17.07%chance

111632

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2204

454

Will Andrej Karpathy hire bodyguards or food tasters by EOY 2029?

Mar 11, 1:29 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

17.23%chance

8200

OptionVotes

YES

NO

354

109

Will Andrej Karpathy get a personal chromatography/spectroscopy machine? [for purity testing] by 2030

Jul 30, 4:09 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

24.62%chance

495

OptionVotes

YES

NO

175

57

Is Andrej Karpathy vegetarian/vegan?

Mar 13, 7:50 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

27.99%chance

486

OptionVotes

YES

NO

136

93

Ilya Sutskever and Andrej Karpathy back working together by mid 2029

Oct 30, 11:55 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

34.45%chance

570

OptionVotes

YES

NO

138

72

Will Andrej karpathy have a family by 2030

Sep 11, 1:34 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

58.77%chance

235

OptionVotes

NO

YES

60

42

Will Andrej Karpathy start taking rapamycin?

Mar 10, 5:41 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

58.94%chance

432

OptionVotes

NO

YES

120

102

Did/Will Andrej Karpathy play Oregon Trail 2 [or any Oregon Trail game] by EOY2030?

Jul 30, 3:23 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

122

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

If William Eden played 1v1 Homeworld 3 with Andrej Karpathy, would he win?

Oct 5, 12:52 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.76%chance

210

OptionVotes

YES

NO

80

61

Is Andrej Karpathy Aspie/autistic?

Oct 19, 6:53 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

50

50

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