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Top stories

Labour’s Starmer, Reeves, Dodds and Piketty Urge Wealth Tax at Autumn Budget to Address UK Finance Gap and Inequality

Labour’s Starmer, Reeves, Dodds and Piketty Urge Wealth Tax at Autumn Budget to Address UK Finance Gap and Inequality

Authors

8

2 days ago

Trump Opens New Scottish Golf Course After Trip Blending Diplomacy and Protest

US Foreign Policy

Trump Opens New Scottish Golf Course After Trip Blending Diplomacy and Protest

Authors

20

4 days ago

Starmer’s Palestinian State Pledge Triggers Netanyahu Rebuke and UK Legal Warning

Starmer’s Palestinian State Pledge Triggers Netanyahu Rebuke and UK Legal Warning

Authors

15

2 days ago

Zelensky and Starmer Discuss Drone Production, Russia Sanctions, U.S. Cooperation, and Support Trump’s Peace Deal Deadline

Authors

3

1 day ago

Trump Says Starmer Talks Omit Scotch Whisky Tariff Relief

Authors

5

4 days ago

Kyle Says Farage ‘On Savile’s Side’ in Escalating Online Safety Act Clash

Authors

16

4 days ago

Trump Presses Starmer to Cut Taxes and Immigration, Spur North Sea Oil

Authors

11

4 days ago

Trump and Starmer Urge Immediate Gaza Aid After Scotland Talks

Authors

19

5 days ago

Prediction markets for Keir Starmer

If Labour wins a majority government at the 2024 election, will Keir Starmer be prime minister on 1st January 2028?

Jun 4, 4:21 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

70.97%chance

3234362

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1564

640

When will Keir Starmer be replaced as Prime Minister of the UK?

Jul 10, 9:36 AMMar 31, 10:59 PM

3310615

OptionProbability

2029

Other

2026

2027

2028

2025

2030

2024

41

19

11

11

10

4

3

0

Who will be the next UK Prime Minister after Keir Starmer?

Jul 5, 10:07 PMJul 1, 10:59 PM

4310391

OptionProbability

Nigel Farage

Angela Rayner

Robert Jenrick

Other

Kemi Badenoch

James Cleverly

Wes Streeting

Yvette Cooper

Andy Burnham

Jeremy Corbyn

Rachel Reeves

David Lammy

Ed Davey

Tom Tugendhat

Priti Patel

Mel Stride

Jeremy Hunt

Rishi Sunak

Suella Braverman

Lisa Nandy

28

19

11

11

8

6

3

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

Will Keir Starmer lead the Labour party into the next General Election?

Jan 6, 4:28 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

72.65%chance

4110374

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1630

614

Will Keir Starmer have a full term as Prime Minister?

Feb 15, 9:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

58.77%chance

355251

OptionVotes

YES

NO

230

162

Will Keir Starmer's net favourability rating be higher at the end of 2025 than it was at the end of 2024?

Jan 29, 11:09 AMFeb 1, 11:59 PM

35.85%chance

153728

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1338

748

Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2029?

Jun 4, 2:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.94%chance

243611

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1176

850

Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2030?

Jun 13, 7:45 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35%chance

312515

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1363

734

Will Keir Starmer lead the Labour Party for longer than Tony Blair did?

Jul 2, 9:18 PMMar 8, 11:59 PM

5.71%chance

14679

OptionVotes

YES

NO

424

52

Will Keir Starmer's Ipsos favorability go above 50% before the next UK election?

Sep 28, 8:09 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

10.76%chance

3190

OptionVotes

YES

NO

288

35

Will Sir Keir Starmer say “bitter lesson” in relation to AI in a public speech before 2029?

Jan 13, 5:18 PMJan 21, 9:59 AM

17.59%chance

4116

OptionVotes

YES

NO

216

46

Will the UK rejoin the EU, the single market or the customs union in Keir Starmer's lifetime?

Jul 4, 2:24 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

56.98%chance

551

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

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