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Top stories

UK Court Lets 138 Asylum Seekers Remain at Epping Hotel

UK Court Lets 138 Asylum Seekers Remain at Epping Hotel

Authors

6

1 year ago

Lib Dem Leader Davey Boycotts Trump Banquet in Gaza Protest

US Foreign Policy

Lib Dem Leader Davey Boycotts Trump Banquet in Gaza Protest

Authors

5

1 year ago

UK Bars Israeli Officials From London Defence Expo Over Gaza Offensive

UK Bars Israeli Officials From London Defence Expo Over Gaza Offensive

Authors

20

1 year ago

Labour Grandees Clash Over ECHR Exit as Asylum Hotel Battle Escalates

Authors

13

1 year ago

Starmer Removes Top Aide Nin Pandit as No. 10 Shake-Up Widens

Authors

5

1 year ago

St George’s Cross Surge Spurs Immigration Debate in England

Authors

18

1 year ago

US Domestic Policy

Nigel Farage and Keir Starmer Back Detention, Deportation as UK Faces Rising Illegal Boat Arrivals; US Advances Expedited Removal Act

Authors

9

1 year ago

France Summons Italian Ambassador After Salvini Taunts Macron on Ukraine Troops

Authors

11

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Keir Starmer

If Labour wins a majority government at the 2024 election, will Keir Starmer be prime minister on 1st January 2028?

Jun 4, 4:21 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

0.23%chance

4952947

OptionVotes

YES

NO

20897

48

Will Keir Starmer lead the Labour party into the next General Election?

Jan 6, 4:28 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

0.74%chance

9431429

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11612

86

Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2029?

Jun 4, 2:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.13%chance

3713131

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6775

148

Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2030?

Jun 13, 7:45 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1.95%chance

4711159

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7100

141

Will Keir Starmer have a full term as Prime Minister?

Feb 15, 9:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1%chance

659133

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1183

6

If Keir Starmer is out as UK PM in 2026, will he…..?

Feb 27, 3:56 AMDec 31, 7:34 PM

239024

OptionProbability

Be a cabinet minister on 1 April 2027

Stay on as an mp until the date of the next UK general election?

Stay on as an mp and contest a constituency in the next UK general election?

2

0

0

Will Keir Starmer's successor have a longer tenure as prime minister than Keir?

Jun 22, 4:25 AMFeb 1, 5:12 AM

61.91%chance

211238

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1275

784

Will Keir Starmer be reelected PM in 2029?

Mar 17, 5:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3%chance

11923

OptionVotes

YES

NO

569

18

Will Keir Starmer lose his seat at the next general election?

Mar 11, 1:47 AMMay 7, 11:59 PM

97.1%chance

10854

OptionVotes

NO

YES

579

17

Will a super-injunction relating to Sir Keir Starmer be revealed in 2026?

Apr 29, 6:14 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.05%chance

11839

OptionVotes

YES

NO

670

51

Will Trump say he “forgives” the UK Labour Party, Keir Starmer or in any reference to them?

Nov 8, 3:36 PMJan 15, 11:59 PM

23.17%chance

12374

OptionVotes

YES

NO

344

127

Will the UK rejoin the EU, the single market or the customs union in Keir Starmer's lifetime?

Jul 4, 2:24 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

56.98%chance

551

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

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