OptionProbability
Scott Bessent
No one by end of 2026
Other
Michael Kratsios
David Sacks
Elon Musk
Sriram Krishnan
Marc Andreessen
Jensen Huang
Marco Rubio
J.D. Vance
Emil Michael
Sam Altman
Mark Zuckerberg
Donald Trump
Eliezer Yudkowsky
Leopold Aschenbrenner
Rudy Giuliani
Dean Ball
Dario Amodei
Peter Thiel
Tim Cook
Séb Krier
Keith Rabois
Jacob Helberg
Katherine Boyle
36
26
12
10
6
1
0
