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Prediction markets for Keller

How many games will the Pittsburgh Pirates win in the 2026 regular season?

Mar 26, 2:55 AMOct 4, 11:59 PM

21321

OptionProbability

70 - 75

76 - 81

Below 70

82 - 87

88 - 93

94 - 100

Above 100

25

16

13

12

11

11

11

Who will win the November 2026 election for the Texas State Senate District 9 seat?

Mar 29, 9:30 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

5596

OptionProbability

Taylor Rehmet

Leigh Wambsganss

Other

76

18

6

Which charities will be recommended by GiveWell at the end of 2026?

Feb 26, 4:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4200

OptionProbability

Malaria Consortium

Against Malaria Foundation

New Incentives

Helen Keller International

91

90

90

89

Prediction markets advocated as system architecture in 2026?

Jan 18, 2:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20%chance

9189

OptionVotes

YES

NO

200

50

Will Atomic Semi sell something substantial before 2028?

Feb 23, 2:38 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

64.27%chance

687

OptionVotes

NO

YES

186

120

Prediction markets advocated as system architecture in 2027?

Feb 19, 9:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50.05%chance

321

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Who will Win BF1 season 1

Mar 3, 7:52 AMSep 1, 6:50 AM

00

OptionProbability

Howdy

Mauro

Rengoku

Tagin

Pavelnaum

Keller

Lazaric

Cyano

Da

Buva

Other answers

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

Will people indefinitely keep making polls on Manifold about when we will get "AGI" without defining it?

Jun 3, 1:34 AM

150

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