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Top stories

Breitling Becomes NFL’s First Official Luxury Timepiece Partner

Authors

4

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Kern

Will AI be able to rewrite the Linux Kernel from scratch in Rust, mostly autonomously, by EOY 2030?

Jan 2, 2:49 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

67.58%chance

558521

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1444

693

Which release of Linux kernel will have the first Rust-only driver for consumer-grade hardware ?

Mar 1, 5:59 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

106676

OptionProbability

7.7

Other

7.6

7.5

7.0

7.4

7.3

7.2

7.1

6.19

7.0

6.18

never

6.8

6.9

6.10

6.11

6.12

6.14

6.15

6.17

6.13

6.16

12

12

11

10

10

9

8

7

6

3

3

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

Will Android still use the Linux kernel by 2035?

Jun 8, 4:09 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

72.16%chance

11967

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1976

860

Will the Linux kernel still be an actively maintained project in 2050?

Mar 29, 12:48 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM

79.93%chance

15354

OptionVotes

NO

YES

436

153

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 16th State Senate district

Jul 2, 3:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4315

OptionProbability

Melissa Hurtado (incumbent)

Guillermo Gonzalez

Mike Boudreaux

Other

87

7

3

3

Will the Kernel Flow 2 be used for a neuroimaging study of sex on psychedelics by EOY2027?

Apr 10, 9:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.75%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

91

Will NeuroField Neurotherapy use a kernel flow helmet by EOY2028?

Sep 27, 3:55 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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