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Kevin Roose News
Prediction markets for Kevin Roose
Prediction markets for Kevin Roose
Will there be a verified AI-assisted solution to one of the Millennium Prize problems by the end of 2026?
Dec 21, 9:29 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
6.97%
chance
14
2847
Option
Votes
YES
NO
366
27
Will Apple name an outside CEO to replace Tim Cook in 2026?
Dec 21, 9:37 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
1.89%
chance
10
796
Option
Votes
YES
NO
721
14
Will at least 5 democratic countries other than Australia ban social media for kids under 16 by the end of 2026?
Dec 21, 9:31 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
44%
chance
9
260
Option
Votes
YES
NO
113
89
Will a primarily AI-generated work be nominated for a major entertainment award (Emmy, Grammy, Oscar, Tony) in 2026?
Dec 21, 9:35 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
11.78%
chance
6
208
Option
Votes
YES
NO
274
37
Will 3 or more Democrats flip seats in the 2026 midterm elections by running on anti-AI sentiment?
Dec 21, 9:34 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
77%
chance
5
144
Option
Votes
NO
YES
183
55
Will OpenAI retire the Sora app in 2026?
Dec 21, 9:36 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
24.93%
chance
8
130
Option
Votes
YES
NO
174
58
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