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Prediction markets for Keys
Will Marc Andreessen be right that a replacement to the Francis Scott Key Bridge will not open before Mar 26 2027?
Mar 26, 7:52 PMMar 27, 6:59 AM
95.33%chance
9910950
OptionVotes
2946
41
Will Allan Lichtman (creator of the 13 Keys) correctly predict the 2028 election?
Oct 14, 12:17 AMDec 1, 7:59 AM
68.56%chance
187360
OptionVotes
1477
677
OptionVotes
2504
399
Will we discover superconductivity in biological systems as key part of memory, perception or language, before 2040?
Aug 2, 2:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
5.62%chance
224037
OptionVotes
1437
935
By 2034, will most Americans leave the house with only their phones (no wallet or keys)?
Apr 3, 10:02 PMApr 11, 3:59 AM
20.1%chance
372468
OptionVotes
1503
804
Will a replacement bridge for Francis Scott Key Bridge in Baltimore be opened to traffic within 10 years of destruction?
Mar 29, 3:08 PMMar 28, 3:59 AM
82.68%chance
392256
OptionVotes
3072
1633
Will any advanced AI chip fabs or their key supply chains be heavily physically damaged deliberately by 2028?
Nov 3, 6:13 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
25.43%chance
291989
OptionVotes
1206
883
Will the New York Times positively cover Allan Lichtman’s 13 Keys prediction in 2028?
Sep 5, 7:19 PMNov 13, 7:59 AM
22.88%chance
71550
OptionVotes
1836
545
Will Lula be a key actor in the peace between Ukraine and Russia?
Feb 23, 5:28 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM
4.98%chance
161505
OptionVotes
2046
896
[Humanoid Bots] Will the USA (or China) be the key player?
Mar 6, 10:42 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
29.14%chance
181069
OptionVotes
1683
407
Will any California bridges receive additional physical protection due to the Francis Scott Key Bridge collapse?
Mar 28, 5:05 PMApr 1, 3:59 AM
9.65%chance
6965
OptionVotes
426
53
What will be the final cost of the Francis Scott Key bridge replacement (in 2024 $millions)
Mar 30, 3:47 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
4492
OptionProbability
44
39
6
5
3
2
1


