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Top stories

Faith Kipyegon Runs 8:07.04 for Second-Fastest 3000m, Sets African and Diamond League Records at Silesia; Hodgkinson and Seville Also Shine

Faith Kipyegon Runs 8:07.04 for Second-Fastest 3000m, Sets African and Diamond League Records at Silesia; Hodgkinson and Seville Also Shine

Authors

9

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Kipyegon

Will a female runner run a mile in under 4 minutes by the end of 2030?

Mar 2, 11:03 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

163797

OptionProbability

No

Yes, in an official race

Yes, but only in a controlled experiment

65

18

18

Woman breaks 4-minute mile by December 31, 2026?

Jan 5, 12:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.61%chance

14711

OptionVotes

YES

NO

411

24

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