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Top stories

Taiwan Recall Bid Fails, 24 KMT Lawmakers Keep Seats

Taiwan Recall Bid Fails, 24 KMT Lawmakers Keep Seats

Authors

13

7 days ago

Taiwan President Lai Ching-te’s 10 Talks on Unity Challenge China; 24 KMT Lawmakers Survive July 26 Recall Vote; US Stopover Delayed

US Foreign Policy

Taiwan President Lai Ching-te’s 10 Talks on Unity Challenge China; 24 KMT Lawmakers Survive July 26 Recall Vote; US Stopover Delayed

Authors

32

8 days ago

China Opposes Taiwan President Lai Ching-te's US Transit After Trump Administration Denies New York Stopover

US Foreign Policy

China Opposes Taiwan President Lai Ching-te's US Transit After Trump Administration Denies New York Stopover

Authors

4

4 days ago

US Foreign Policy

Taiwan Calls 20% U.S. Tariff Temporary, Sees Deal Within Reach

Authors

9

2 days ago

Prediction markets for Lai

Which countries will William Lai Ching-te visit as President of Taiwan (Republic of China)?

Apr 8, 8:24 AMMay 31, 3:59 PM

5518

OptionProbability

Marshall Islands

Tuvalu

Palau

United States of America

Singapore

Guatemala

Paraguay

Saint Kitts and Nevis

Saint Lucia

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

Belize

Eswatini

Haiti

Somaliland

Lithuania

Czech Republic

Belgium

Japan

Vatican City

China (PRC)*

76

76

74

65

59

50

50

50

50

50

48

41

41

41

34

34

34

22

15

6

Will Robin Hanson have ridden a batmobile, laid an egg, and made Joker run away by 2030?

Sep 11, 12:37 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3.53%chance

6444

OptionVotes

YES

NO

513

57

Will Jimmy Lai be released from prison before end of 2026?

Nov 14, 9:12 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

23.58%chance

4348

OptionVotes

YES

NO

180

56

Will the keel be laid for a third Royal Navy Queen Elizabeth-class aircraft carrier prior to January 2030?

Apr 1, 11:11 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

20.45%chance

4336

OptionVotes

YES

NO

238

59

Will a TPOT person get laid live on an X stream by 2069?

Aug 27, 8:17 PMSep 3, 8:59 PM

52.13%chance

8305

OptionVotes

NO

YES

198

134

Let's All Love Lain (stock)

Feb 4, 10:13 AM

8185

OptionProbability

NO

YES

208

99

Will Lai Ching-te (of the DPP party in Taiwan) still be alive by EOY 2027?

Oct 21, 6:28 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

84.88%chance

3108

OptionVotes

NO

YES

198

49

Taiwan 2028 Long Range Market: Will Hsiao Bi-khim try to primary Lai Ching-te in 2027?

Jan 14, 3:10 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

25.71%chance

135

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

49

If I get fired or laid off at my next job, will it be on a Friday again?

Jul 9, 7:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

55.28%chance

230

OptionVotes

NO

YES

111

90

Will basedbeffjezos get laid in 2024/2025

Jun 8, 8:52 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

43.26%chance

215

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

87

Taiwan 2028 Long Range Market: Will Lai Ching-te be re-elected?

Jan 14, 3:25 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

59.02%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

80

62

Will Barton Rhodes get laid in 2025?

Jun 21, 1:12 AM

40

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