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Prediction markets for Lam To

If Trump were elected in 2024, will Trump attempt to run for a third term in 2028 or 2032?

Jan 24, 4:35 AMNov 8, 6:32 AM

32.18%chance

354169247

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1623

1432

Will Donald Trump be elected president of the US in the 2048 election?

Aug 5, 2:22 AMAug 12, 3:59 AM

1.93%chance

108114427

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7120

140

Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic party nominee for president in 2028?

Jan 15, 10:24 PMDec 22, 4:59 AM

20.31%chance

6224618

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1042

973

Will Bitcoin surpass $200,000 before the end of 2025?

Feb 29, 1:40 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7.51%chance

5218189

OptionVotes

YES

NO

770

118

Will the Democratic Party win the 2028 Presidential Election?

Jan 15, 6:51 PMFeb 22, 6:59 AM

55%chance

10514018

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1567

1109

Elon Musk Stock (Permanent)

Nov 16, 4:24 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

523700

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1184

802

Manifold Staffs Stocks

Mar 27, 8:55 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

183406

OptionProbability

@SG (Stephen Grugett)

@Conflux

@Gen

@Austin

@SirSalty (David Chee)

Other

@JamesGrugett

@ian

@Sinclair

Marshall Polaris

@Joshua

Alice Pang

68

10

8

5

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

0

Does any eating window reduce chance of cancer related death?

Mar 24, 1:48 AMSep 16, 4:59 AM

54.45%chance

241508

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1149

845

🐲Who will Slay me on the creator leaderboard?

Dec 11, 3:46 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8952

OptionProbability

Other

CateHall

Plasma Ballin

Tripping

Joshua

Tomek

Franklin Baldo

jim

Richard Hanania

Conflux

eburk

Ammon Lam

Jack

memestiny

Isaac King

Snazzlepop

Niko

tjohnson314

Data Chef

BTE

Tumbles

Predictor

Bayesian

Jackson Polack

70

3

3

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will a company by @barak raise 2mil before the end of 2025?

Mar 17, 1:07 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

6.18%chance

11702

OptionVotes

YES

NO

698

70

What AI-related companies will quintuple their value by mid 2027?

Nov 11, 3:08 AMJul 6, 3:59 AM

8521

OptionProbability

Micron

TSMC

Tesla

Symbotic

Softbank

NVIDIA

Velodar / Ouster (OUST)

ARM

Qualcomm

SMCI

Meta

Palantir

Baidu

Alibaba

Intuitive Surgical

AMD

ASML

Google / Alphabet

Mobileye

Lam Research

Dell

Amazon

Microsoft

Intel

Apple

Walmart

JPMorgan Chase

Berkshire Hathaway

38

30

28

28

28

27

27

26

26

26

26

26

26

26

26

24

24

24

22

21

21

21

18

15

12

12

10

9

Who will become General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam in 2026?

Jul 1, 2:48 AMJan 31, 3:59 PM

265

OptionProbability

To Lam

Luong Cuong

Other

Pham Minh Chinh

60

14

14

11

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