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Prediction markets for Law

Will Trump deploy federal law enforcement to crack down on protests by "radical left lunatics" by X date?

Nov 7, 7:29 PMJan 21, 2:59 AM

5073832

OptionProbability

January 20, 2029 (Whole term)

January 20, 2026 (First year)

January 20, 2025 (Inauguration Day)

February 20, 2025 (First month)

April 29, 2025 (First 100 days)

71

16

0

0

0

Will at least one other person be found guilty in a court of law for involvement in Crooks' Trump assassination attempt?

Jul 18, 2:23 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

2.63%chance

1738581

OptionVotes

YES

NO

45481

7857

Will Brazilian ineligibility laws be revised to allow Bolsonaro to run for office in 2026?

Feb 4, 5:35 PMAug 2, 3:59 AM

5.72%chance

1817218

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15095

38

Will any part of America be under martial law during midterm elections?

Jan 20, 1:18 AMNov 4, 2:00 AM

10%chance

5711487

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3000

333

Will the proposed 5,000$ per child tax credit be signed into law before November 7 2028?

Aug 18, 2:06 PMDec 2, 6:59 AM

19.12%chance

1211085

OptionVotes

YES

NO

18565

6494

Will the Terminally Ill Adults (End of Life) Bill become law?

Nov 12, 1:15 PMDec 19, 11:59 PM

15.89%chance

228019

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2301

435

Will personally-produced data be considered personal property according to US law by 2040?

Apr 28, 5:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.32%chance

773829

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1279

959

If protestors get shot by law enforcement during Trump's second term will his net approval rating go up?

Jun 8, 5:39 AMJan 20, 11:59 AM

31.26%chance

333370

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1483

674

Will Chaya Raichik (Libs of TikTok) be found guilty in a US court of law by the end of 2030?

Feb 22, 1:46 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.4%chance

392317

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1804

718

Will New York pass a law regulating AI giving professional advice (S-7263) in 2026?

Mar 6, 4:46 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.31%chance

211653

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1674

598

LLM or AI written US Federal Laws before 2027

Feb 25, 1:51 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

29.47%chance

18867

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1029

972

Will every non-Trump US president have studied at law school or served in the military until 2040?

Apr 13, 6:27 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

32.23%chance

135490

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2106

1843

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