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Prediction markets for Law

CLARITY Act signed into law in 2026?

Feb 21, 11:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.52%chance

7598619

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9218

1799

Will Trump deploy federal law enforcement to crack down on protests by "radical left lunatics" by X date?

Nov 7, 7:29 PMJan 21, 2:59 AM

5379100

OptionProbability

January 20, 2029 (Whole term)

January 20, 2026 (First year)

January 20, 2025 (Inauguration Day)

February 20, 2025 (First month)

April 29, 2025 (First 100 days)

49

5

0

0

0

Will the farm bill (HR 7567) pass and destroy / federally preempt state animal welfare laws?

Apr 29, 12:45 AMJan 14, 12:59 AM

16.27%chance

9340003

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10225

1947

Will at least one other person be found guilty in a court of law for involvement in Crooks' Trump assassination attempt?

Jul 18, 2:23 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

2.7%chance

1739662

OptionVotes

YES

NO

44399

7886

Will any part of America be under martial law during midterm elections?

Jan 20, 1:18 AMNov 4, 2:00 AM

13.97%chance

5812129

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2481

403

Will the proposed 5,000$ per child tax credit be signed into law before November 7 2028?

Aug 18, 2:06 PMDec 2, 6:59 AM

19.06%chance

1211095

OptionVotes

YES

NO

18607

6485

Will the Terminally Ill Adults (End of Life) Bill become law?

Nov 12, 1:15 PMDec 19, 11:59 PM

18.83%chance

268438

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2008

375

Will personally-produced data be considered personal property according to US law by 2040?

Apr 28, 5:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.32%chance

773829

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1279

959

Will Chaya Raichik (Libs of TikTok) be found guilty in a US court of law by the end of 2030?

Feb 22, 1:46 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

16.33%chance

392496

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1625

750

Will New York pass a law regulating AI giving professional advice (S-7263) in 2026?

Mar 6, 4:46 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.61%chance

272102

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1963

510

Will the Supreme Court issue a merits decision that limits or overturns state or local rent-control laws before 2030?

Nov 23, 1:47 AMJan 2, 1:46 AM

33.02%chance

8850

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2129

1474

Will every non-Trump US president have studied at law school or served in the military until 2040?

Apr 13, 6:27 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

32.23%chance

135490

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2106

1843

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