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Prediction markets for Law

Will the US eliminate the Department of Education through law or presidential reorganization before 2026?

Jan 23, 12:35 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

2%chance

58117593

OptionVotes

YES

NO

83919

4213

Will Trump deploy federal law enforcement to crack down on protests by "radical left lunatics" by X date?

Nov 7, 7:29 PMJan 21, 2:59 AM

4973582

OptionProbability

January 20, 2029 (Whole term)

January 20, 2026 (First year)

January 20, 2025 (Inauguration Day)

February 20, 2025 (First month)

April 29, 2025 (First 100 days)

71

17

0

0

0

Will at least one other person be found guilty in a court of law for involvement in Crooks' Trump assassination attempt?

Jul 18, 2:23 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

2.72%chance

1637080

OptionVotes

YES

NO

44017

7897

Will Brazilian ineligibility laws be revised to allow Bolsonaro to run for office in 2026?

Feb 4, 5:35 PMAug 2, 3:59 AM

6.93%chance

1617066

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14973

46

Will the US experience martial law before 2026?

May 16, 8:49 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

2.97%chance

5614633

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5800

187

Will the proposed 5,000$ per child tax credit be signed into law before November 7 2028?

Aug 18, 2:06 PMDec 2, 6:59 AM

23.44%chance

88041

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15910

7208

Will the Terminally Ill Adults (End of Life) Bill become law?

Nov 12, 1:15 PMDec 19, 11:59 PM

86.33%chance

206280

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2513

398

Supreme Court rules Trump tariffs lawful?

Aug 29, 10:55 PMJun 30, 10:59 PM

5.41%chance

445014

OptionVotes

YES

NO

418

24

New York State RAISE Act becomes law?

Jun 24, 3:01 AMJan 2, 4:01 AM

69.98%chance

114551

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4882

2686

Will personally-produced data be considered personal property according to US law by 2040?

Apr 28, 5:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.32%chance

773829

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1279

959

Will Chaya Raichik (Libs of TikTok) be found guilty in a US court of law by the end of 2030?

Feb 22, 1:46 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.4%chance

392317

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1804

718

Will every non-Trump US president have studied at law school or served in the military until 2040?

Apr 13, 6:27 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

32.23%chance

135490

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2106

1843

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