OptionProbability
Andrej Karpathy
George Hotz
Ilya Sutskever
Gwern Branwen
Ajeya Cotra
Elon Musk
Jared Kaplan
Michael Levin
Amanda Askell
Chris Olah
Noam Brown
Joscha Bach
Tanner Greer
Greg Brockman (gdb)
Mira Murati
Michael Pettis
Matthew Klein
Connor Leahy
Geoffrey Hinton
Zvi Mowshowitz
Robert Caro
Nora Belrose
Helen Toner
Wang Huning
Spencer Greenberg
Janus @repligate
Barack Obama
Bill Gates
Donald Trump
Kamala Harris
100
98
96
95
73
70
58
51
50
45
43
38
36
35
32
31
30
29
28
13
3
OptionVotes
YES
NO
1037
924
