OptionProbability
Andrej Karpathy
George Hotz
Ilya Sutskever
Gwern Branwen
Ajeya Cotra
Elon Musk
Jared Kaplan
Michael Levin
Amanda Askell
Chris Olah
Noam Brown
Joscha Bach
Janus @repligate
Tanner Greer
Greg Brockman (gdb)
Mira Murati
Michael Pettis
Matthew Klein
Connor Leahy
Geoffrey Hinton
Zvi Mowshowitz
Nora Belrose
Helen Toner
Wang Huning
Spencer Greenberg
Robert Caro
Bill Gates
Barack Obama
Donald Trump
Kamala Harris
100
98
96
95
73
71
70
58
51
50
45
43
36
35
32
31
29
28
25
13
3
OptionVotes
YES
NO
1037
924
