Ledger News

Will Amazon accept cryptocurrency before December 31st 2028?

Mar 22, 9:31 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

18.95%chance

508112

OptionVotes

YES

1085

924

Will @Tumbles be more than 24 ___ late to pay back a loan?

Jun 9, 11:15 PMDec 31, 11:35 PM

303538

OptionProbability

Hours

Days

Weeks

Fortnights

OpenAI models released to the public

Months

Tumbles-related prediction markets (will be N/A'd of no clarification is given by Jun 18, 2025.)

Years

Asses eaten (only ones since market creation can count. Tumbles calls the shots on how this one is operationalized.)

New loans taken (since this market's creation, only counts loans created while a loan is due)

Manifests (2025's is 1st)

U.S. National Elections (2024's is 0th, national midterms count)

U.S. Presidents (Trump's 2nd term is 1st)

Canadian National Elections (2025's is 0th)

Decades

100

Will Amazon accept cryptocurrency before December 31st 2033?

Mar 24, 9:54 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

27.31%chance

352329

OptionVotes

YES

1496

701

Will Russia be removed from the UN Security Council in the next 5 years?

Nov 5, 3:13 AMNov 12, 4:59 AM

4.83%chance

141932

OptionVotes

YES

1691

930

Will China still be the world's leading exporter (in USD) by the end of 2028?

Oct 21, 4:45 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

63.74%chance

15471

OptionVotes

YES

1009

965

Will Florida PALM go live as scheduled on January 11, 2027?

May 30, 2:07 AMJan 11, 11:59 PM

52.22%chance

4412

OptionVotes

YES

1045

957

When will a cyberattack cause a major U.S. bank or brokerage to lose its records of customer assets?

Aug 11, 1:50 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9342

OptionProbability

Before 2033

Before 2032

Before 2029

Before 2030

Before 2031

Before 2028

Before 2027

SIGN HERE TO JOIN THE BREAD ARMY [ADD ANSWERS IF YOU WANT TO]

Jun 8, 9:13 AMDec 31, 9:26 AM

152

OptionProbability

IM SIGNING HERE 🫡

Im signing here 🫡

BREAD ARMY FOREVER 🫡

COUNT ME IN 🥖🫡

Will the AT Protocol (bluesky) end up being used as a distributed ledger?

Aug 20, 8:00 AMJun 26, 11:59 AM

30.88%chance

251

OptionVotes

YES

150

Will any US state enact a statewide moratorium on large data centres before January 1, 2028?

Nov 2, 3:40 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.17%chance

230

OptionVotes

YES

130

[Ṁ$1000 bounty per] How many errors will be found in "We Didn't Write the Weights" (199 AI-history entries) before 2027?

Oct 13, 12:23 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

OptionProbability

Above 5

@spiderduckpig loan ledger

Apr 15, 10:01 PM

110

Ledger News

Prediction markets for Ledger

Prediction markets for Ledger

Prediction markets for Ledger

Will Amazon accept cryptocurrency before December 31st 2028?

Will @Tumbles be more than 24 ___ late to pay back a loan?

Will Amazon accept cryptocurrency before December 31st 2033?

Will Russia be removed from the UN Security Council in the next 5 years?

Will China still be the world's leading exporter (in USD) by the end of 2028?

Will Florida PALM go live as scheduled on January 11, 2027?

When will a cyberattack cause a major U.S. bank or brokerage to lose its records of customer assets?

SIGN HERE TO JOIN THE BREAD ARMY [ADD ANSWERS IF YOU WANT TO]

Will the AT Protocol (bluesky) end up being used as a distributed ledger?

Will any US state enact a statewide moratorium on large data centres before January 1, 2028?

[Ṁ$1000 bounty per] How many errors will be found in "We Didn't Write the Weights" (199 AI-history entries) before 2027?

@spiderduckpig loan ledger

Latest stories