Levi News

What will happen with HMYS's ❗Ṁ1.96 BILLION❗ debt to Levi Finkelstein?

Jan 19, 7:13 AMFeb 28, 7:59 AM

2715965

OptionProbability

@hmys does not pay back the loan on time

Levi Finkelstein will have not interacted with Manifold for at least a month at the time HMTS's debt is supposed to be paid back.

Levi forgives the debt in a stunning act of grace

@hmys declares bankruptcy, their assets are liquidated, and @levifinkelstein collects their balance, writing off the difference as an acceptable loss

@jim pays off the debt on @hmys' behalf

@hmys breaks Manifold rules to farm mana to pay off their debt (not including incidents before this was submitted)

AGI renders 2 year concerns meaningless

Manifold devalue mana 1000000000000x, making it easy for hmys to buy mana with USD to pay the debt

The full debt is completely paid off on time, leaving Levi almost two billion mana richer

@Mira waves a wand of debt cancellation, rewriting reality so the debt appears to have never been valid.

When will Gotham Chess (Levy Rozman) become a Grandmaster?

Apr 24, 3:23 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

476450

OptionProbability

Later/Never

2028

2029

2027

2030

2026

2025

2024

Will Levy Rozman get Grandmaster Title in his life?

Feb 17, 5:46 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

16.97%chance

335255

OptionVotes

YES

1759

754

Levy Rozman (Gotham Chess) or Eric Rosen becomes a GM by 2035

Jan 24, 10:04 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

20.01%chance

423064

OptionVotes

YES

1002

968

Will Levy Rozman have a publicized coaching session with Hans Neimann before 2026?

Jan 19, 7:01 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

12.64%chance

122500

OptionVotes

YES

2629

380

Will Levi's discord server have 20+ members at the end of July?

Jul 20, 6:51 PMJul 31, 9:59 PM

82.52%chance

131812

OptionVotes

YES

293

133

Will Gotham Chess (Levy Rozman) join Manifold before the end of 2027?

Jan 15, 2:43 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

13.94%chance

171035

OptionVotes

YES

1846

780

Will Gotham Chess (Levy Rozman) join Manifold before the end of 2026?

Jan 15, 2:43 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

16.73%chance

14784

OptionVotes

YES

1182

943

Will Gotham Chess (Levy Rozman) join Manifold before the end of 2025?

Jan 15, 2:42 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9.05%chance

10359

OptionVotes

YES

436

104

Is Levy's conjecture true?

Oct 28, 3:43 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

90.09%chance

3287

OptionVotes

YES

261

Will Will Levis be selected for a Pro Bowl before 2034?

Apr 28, 10:33 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

13.14%chance

7174

OptionVotes

YES

225

Levi Stock

Jul 27, 3:16 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9%chance

7102

OptionProbability

YES

369

243

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Prediction markets for Levi

What will happen with HMYS's ❗Ṁ1.96 BILLION❗ debt to Levi Finkelstein?

When will Gotham Chess (Levy Rozman) become a Grandmaster?

Will Levy Rozman get Grandmaster Title in his life?

Levy Rozman (Gotham Chess) or Eric Rosen becomes a GM by 2035

Will Levy Rozman have a publicized coaching session with Hans Neimann before 2026?

Will Levi's discord server have 20+ members at the end of July?

Will Gotham Chess (Levy Rozman) join Manifold before the end of 2027?

Will Gotham Chess (Levy Rozman) join Manifold before the end of 2026?

Will Gotham Chess (Levy Rozman) join Manifold before the end of 2025?

Is Levy's conjecture true?

Will Will Levis be selected for a Pro Bowl before 2034?

Levi Stock

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