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Prediction markets for Levin
Will Michael Levin win a Nobel Prize any time in the future?
Jan 3, 8:10 AMJan 1, 6:01 AM
46.98%chance
331926
OptionVotes
1187
691
OptionVotes
1924
520
Will Matt Levine create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
Jan 9, 6:00 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
32%chance
27868
OptionVotes
1261
841
Will Michael Levin have a paper on bioelectricity or related systems which has over 2000 citations, by mid 2031
Jan 25, 11:12 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM
49.28%chance
10704
OptionVotes
1014
986
Will Michael Levin become a investigator with the Howard Hughes Medical Institute?
Jan 3, 8:11 AMJan 1, 6:01 AM
52.12%chance
8548
OptionVotes
198
182
When will Matt Levine write/talk about a new mistake made at Citi Bank caused by bad UI
Feb 10, 10:17 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
1110
OptionProbability
50
34
24
17
10
Will Morgan Levine start to regularly ANY of {rapamycin, metformin, acarbose, SGLT2 inhibitors) by the end of 2027?
Apr 20, 10:46 PMApr 28, 6:59 AM
54.16%chance
767
OptionVotes
231
103
Will Matt Levine write about "a buy-and-hold prediction-markets exchange-traded fund" before 2026-11-07?
Nov 8, 10:09 PMNov 8, 7:59 AM
52.44%chance
150
OptionVotes
1050
952
Will Stephen Wolfram and Michael Levin have a joint public conversation/podcast/panel in 2026?
Feb 23, 3:31 PMFeb 1, 11:59 PM
51.04%chance
39
OptionVotes
357
343
OptionVotes
100
100