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Prediction markets for Lex Fridman

Lex Fridman Stock

Oct 30, 9:42 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

1342294428

OptionProbability

YES

NO

2674

1858

Will Lex Fridman interview Vladimir Putin while he is still Russia's president?

Nov 13, 6:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7.73%chance

14533799

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2882

1223

Will Lex Fridman interview Putin before the Ukraine-Russia war ends?

Jan 30, 3:32 AMFeb 6, 4:59 AM

10.07%chance

656482

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1912

810

Will Lex Fridman ever be elected President?

Jan 13, 8:17 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

2.75%chance

191610

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1974

929

Will Lex Fridman report experiencing psychological issues since taking Ayahuasca?

Jan 4, 10:57 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

16.49%chance

141097

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1828

736

If Assad survives will Lex Fridman have him on the podcast by the end of 2026?

Dec 8, 6:02 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

16.25%chance

20505

OptionVotes

YES

NO

227

44

Will Lex Fridman ever accomplish his goal of interviewing Grigori Perelman?

Jun 23, 5:15 PMJun 23, 5:14 PM

31.72%chance

8317

OptionVotes

YES

NO

147

68

How many Lex Fridman podcast episodes released within the next 2 months will significantly discuss quantum computing?

Jan 14, 8:09 AMMar 14, 8:07 AM

7175

OptionProbability

A) 0

B) 1

C) 2

D) 3

55

41

2

2

Will Parmita Mishra (@prmshra) end up dating @basedbeffjezos, @bayeslord, @adammaj, or lex fridman?

Apr 6, 11:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

55.5%chance

5135

OptionVotes

NO

YES

191

127

Lex Fridman Stock

Jul 23, 7:38 PMJul 23, 9:59 PM

661

OptionProbability

YES

NO

157

105

Will any Manifold founder or FTE be on Lex Fridman podcast by 2030?

Oct 10, 2:09 AMJan 2, 2:59 AM

23.19%chance

341

OptionVotes

YES

NO

91

27

Will Parmita Mishra be interviewed by Lex Fridman OR Dwarkesh Patel by EOY 2030?

Jun 30, 10:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

60.98%chance

125

OptionVotes

NO

YES

125

80

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