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Prediction markets for Lex Fridman

Lex Fridman Stock

Oct 30, 9:42 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

1341294254

OptionProbability

YES

NO

2617

2021

But seriously, is @LexFridman the real Lex Fridman?

Jun 8, 5:31 PMMay 2, 3:59 AM

97.36%chance

4267508

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1816

711

Will Lex Fridman interview Vladimir Putin while he is still Russia's president?

Nov 13, 6:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20%chance

14533244

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1464

1157

Will Lex Fridman interview Putin before the Ukraine-Russia war ends?

Jan 30, 3:32 AMFeb 6, 4:59 AM

19.27%chance

656343

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1050

949

Will Lex Fridman ever be elected President?

Jan 13, 8:17 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

2.82%chance

191560

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1924

930

Will Lex Fridman interview Ken Griffin by the end of 2025?

Nov 13, 7:59 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7.31%chance

221554

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2143

821

Will Lex Fridman report experiencing psychological issues since taking Ayahuasca?

Jan 4, 10:57 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

16.49%chance

141097

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1828

736

Will Lex Fridman return from Russia before 2026?

Mar 1, 2:15 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

82.35%chance

14568

OptionVotes

NO

YES

216

46

If Assad survives will Lex Fridman have him on the podcast by the end of 2026?

Dec 8, 6:02 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

16.25%chance

20505

OptionVotes

YES

NO

227

44

Will Lex Fridman have a family by EOY 2027?

Dec 23, 1:49 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

38.67%chance

8126

OptionVotes

YES

NO

152

113

Will any Manifold founder or FTE be on Lex Fridman podcast by 2030?

Oct 10, 2:09 AMJan 2, 2:59 AM

23.19%chance

341

OptionVotes

YES

NO

91

27

Will Parmita Mishra be interviewed by Lex Fridman OR Dwarkesh Patel by EOY 2030?

Jun 30, 10:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

60.98%chance

125

OptionVotes

NO

YES

125

80

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