Lieu News

Will the 2028 Democratic nominee be a white man?

Dec 22, 10:06 AMSep 1, 8:59 PM

70.66%chance

485968

OptionVotes

YES

1552

644

Will the cop who shot Nahel M. be found guilty of homicide?

Jun 29, 4:04 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

65%chance

452609

OptionVotes

YES

1126

899

Will there be a large violent dispute between protesters and ICE in 2026?

Jan 10, 1:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.52%chance

212049

OptionVotes

YES

1586

631

In the "Project Hail Mary" movie, will a Beatles song be played during the scene where the beetles are launched?

May 20, 9:08 PMMar 20, 11:59 PM

86.7%chance

13380

OptionVotes

YES

324

If there is AI Doom by 2030, the largest human casualties will be a result of...

Nov 29, 9:25 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7185

OptionProbability

Bio-Risk

other

Drones

Paperclipped

"AI gets the nuclear codes"

Disruption of global food supply chain

AI doomer data center airstrike starts WW3 + nuclear winter

AI hacking takes down global communications networks

Chemical attack

Machines boil oceans as heatsink for compute

Lieu News

Prediction markets for Lieu

Prediction markets for Lieu

Prediction markets for Lieu

Will the 2028 Democratic nominee be a white man?

Will the cop who shot Nahel M. be found guilty of homicide?

Will there be a large violent dispute between protesters and ICE in 2026?

In the "Project Hail Mary" movie, will a Beatles song be played during the scene where the beetles are launched?

If there is AI Doom by 2030, the largest human casualties will be a result of...

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