Lim News

Will either the courts or congress significantly limit trumps ability to impose or negotiate tariffs by the end of 2025

Apr 7, 10:55 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.83%chance

18878430

OptionVotes

YES

1220

873

Will climate change be successfully limited to under 2°C at the end of 2045?

Apr 17, 3:47 PMDec 17, 9:59 PM

23.16%chance

11913886

OptionVotes

YES

1901

1066

Will the Two-term presidential time limit be repealed before the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Nov 21, 4:34 PMNov 28, 10:59 PM

7.18%chance

710104

OptionVotes

YES

20076

7889

By 2073, will it be possible for humans to regrow functional, fully biological limbs?

Feb 11, 7:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.38%chance

236988

OptionVotes

YES

1798

357

International treaty limiting autonomous AI weapons before 2030?

Jul 7, 3:56 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

45.78%chance

182110

OptionVotes

YES

10777

9293

Will Republicans lawmakers try to repeal the current presidential term limit before the 2028 election?

Nov 14, 12:10 AMNov 8, 7:59 AM

25.53%chance

171914

OptionVotes

YES

1708

586

What will replace the tallest and fastest roller coaster, Kingda Ka, now that it has closed?

Nov 18, 10:39 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

1807

OptionProbability

Mack Xtreme Spinner (survey option)

Mack Xtreme Spinner (any other shuttle)

Mack Xtreme Spinner (full circuit)

Vertical/beyond vertical LSM or LIM launched coaster (any manufacturer)

A LSM or LIM launched full circuit coaster not listed above (any manufacturer)

A LSM or LIM launched shuttle coaster not listed above (any manufacturer)

A coaster with a launch technology besides LSM or LIM (any manufacturer)

Other

Another ride (not a coaster)

Mack Stryker or BigDipper

Launched RMC T-Rex

B&M Launched Wing

Intamin Blitz/LSM

A swing launch conversion or layout extension (such as one similar to TT2)

A coaster without a launch

Who will be the next big Sam on Manifold?

Nov 18, 6:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9580

OptionProbability

No one by close date

Samuel Alito

Other

Sam Harris

Sam Jacobs (TIME)

Sam Reich

Sam Bowman (NYU/Anthropic)

Samuel Lim (Binance)

Sam Trabucco

Samuel L. Jackson

Sam Elliott

Will there be new federal regulations in the US limiting employers' access to employee computer activity data by 2030?

Jun 29, 5:32 AMJun 23, 4:59 AM

41.5%chance

5245

OptionVotes

YES

1187

842

Will Montreal remove its 233m height limit on buildings?

Aug 4, 1:02 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

52.05%chance

9199

OptionVotes

YES

128

Municipal bond interest tax break limited by EOY?

Mar 20, 2:36 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

45.25%chance

1100

OptionVotes

YES

1110

919

Will Manifold allow sub-1% limit orders by EOY 2026?

Aug 14, 5:46 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

48.59%chance

453

OptionVotes

YES

1029

972

Lim News

Prediction markets for Lim

Prediction markets for Lim

Prediction markets for Lim

Will either the courts or congress significantly limit trumps ability to impose or negotiate tariffs by the end of 2025

Will climate change be successfully limited to under 2°C at the end of 2045?

Will the Two-term presidential time limit be repealed before the 2028 US Presidential Election?

By 2073, will it be possible for humans to regrow functional, fully biological limbs?

International treaty limiting autonomous AI weapons before 2030?

Will Republicans lawmakers try to repeal the current presidential term limit before the 2028 election?

What will replace the tallest and fastest roller coaster, Kingda Ka, now that it has closed?

Who will be the next big Sam on Manifold?

Will there be new federal regulations in the US limiting employers' access to employee computer activity data by 2030?

Will Montreal remove its 233m height limit on buildings?

Municipal bond interest tax break limited by EOY?

Will Manifold allow sub-1% limit orders by EOY 2026?

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