Litt News

Will "ASIs will not leave just a little sunlight fo..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Sep 23, 2:39 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

15.17%chance

101245

OptionVotes

YES

1013

923

Will meat from animals that have been bred to feel little or no suffering be commercially available by 2044?

Feb 14, 6:02 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

19.39%chance

28732

OptionVotes

YES

1244

907

Is the second Hardy-Littlewood conjecture true?

Oct 28, 5:25 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

7.36%chance

6562

OptionVotes

YES

417

Is the first Hardy-Littlewood conjecture true?

Oct 28, 5:01 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

89.89%chance

6377

OptionVotes

YES

311

My Little Pony 2027 "Total Brand Reinvention" Prop Bets

May 29, 8:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6235

OptionProbability

It includes 3-D animated media

It consists of/includes "Generation 6" according to the consensus of fan communities

It includes a mobile game (video game available on at least one major smartphone platform)

It includes a new comic book series

A new brony convention occurs whose name makes a reference to it (character, location, etc.)

It includes at least an hour of animated media

It introduces a new character in animated media with the same name as a character in a prior generation

It introduces anthropomorphic/humanoid "pony" characters

It includes a video game on at least one major console

Will there be a reboot or sequel to The Brave Little Toaster by the end of 2027?

Sep 22, 1:19 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

13.52%chance

6162

OptionVotes

YES

253

Will there be animated media of My Little Pony "Generation 6" before...?

Apr 5, 6:10 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5116

OptionProbability

2030

2028

2029

2027

2026

2025

Will there be a sequel/remake to 'Big Trouble in Little China' announced before Jan 1st 2029?

Dec 14, 3:51 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

41.59%chance

687

OptionVotes

YES

185

117

Will Generation 6 My Little Pony be a TV-G rated show in the USA by 2030?

Dec 17, 9:31 PMJan 24, 4:59 AM

68.14%chance

276

OptionVotes

YES

Little Daniel stocks

May 4, 12:36 AMMay 4, 3:59 AM

171

OptionProbability

YES

120

The Little Mermaid Movie Stock

May 2, 5:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

58%chance

633

OptionVotes

YES

175

165

big spoon or little spoon?

Jul 28, 12:16 PM

Litt News

Prediction markets for Litt

Prediction markets for Litt

Prediction markets for Litt

Will "ASIs will not leave just a little sunlight fo..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Will meat from animals that have been bred to feel little or no suffering be commercially available by 2044?

Is the second Hardy-Littlewood conjecture true?

Is the first Hardy-Littlewood conjecture true?

My Little Pony 2027 "Total Brand Reinvention" Prop Bets

Will there be a reboot or sequel to The Brave Little Toaster by the end of 2027?

Will there be animated media of My Little Pony "Generation 6" before...?

Will there be a sequel/remake to 'Big Trouble in Little China' announced before Jan 1st 2029?

Will Generation 6 My Little Pony be a TV-G rated show in the USA by 2030?

Little Daniel stocks

The Little Mermaid Movie Stock

big spoon or little spoon?

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