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Prediction markets for Lively

Will sleep be needed to live and function by 2040?

Dec 31, 10:36 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

86.45%chance

1321058005

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1027

885

Will @NathanpmYoung live to 1000

Mar 8, 5:46 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

12%chance

111390777

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1785

1512

Will I live to be at least 200 years old?

Nov 18, 2:49 PMOct 16, 10:59 PM

13.28%chance

12495311

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2723

1742

Will Joe Biden live a longer life than Trump?

Oct 9, 2:04 AMJan 16, 4:59 AM

44%chance

29492021

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1128

886

Will anybody born before 2000 live to be 150?

Mar 26, 12:41 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

71%chance

16669753

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2168

860

Will Joe Biden live to see Luffy find the One Piece?

Feb 13, 7:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

16.56%chance

18345384

OptionVotes

YES

NO

20089

7941

Will @firstuserhere live upto the age of 420?

Aug 26, 7:05 AMJun 16, 6:29 PM

15%chance

3241371

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1017

979

Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?

May 12, 1:30 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

49.39%chance

8125193

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1023

946

will human ever live outside the solar system before the 22nd century?

Nov 7, 12:59 AMJan 21, 4:59 AM

32.8%chance

2820756

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6324

5475

Will GiveWell fund Community health promoters (eg those run by Living Goods) by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 7:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.01%chance

175392

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9916

2845

Will Warren Buffet live to 100?

Oct 24, 2:27 PMAug 31, 6:59 AM

22.95%chance

152071

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1832

546

Do we live in a simulation?

Nov 24, 11:09 PMDec 31, 11:00 PM

35.1%chance

452048

OptionVotes

YES

NO

999

986

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