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Prediction markets for Lively

Will sleep be needed to live and function by 2040?

Dec 31, 10:36 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

84.77%chance

1821110350

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1044

785

Will @NathanpmYoung live to 1000

Mar 8, 5:46 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

14.94%chance

117393087

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1566

1435

Will anybody born before 2000 live to be 150?

Mar 26, 12:41 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

52%chance

216112938

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1451

1302

Will I live to be at least 200 years old?

Nov 18, 2:49 PMOct 16, 10:59 PM

12.09%chance

12796295

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2969

1706

Will Joe Biden live to see Luffy find the One Piece?

Feb 13, 7:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

15.26%chance

18854819

OptionVotes

YES

NO

21432

7687

Will @firstuserhere live upto the age of 420?

Aug 26, 7:05 AMJun 16, 6:29 PM

10.35%chance

3442887

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1455

917

Will I live to be 150 years old?

Apr 20, 10:07 AMJun 15, 1:03 AM

11.48%chance

6138236

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1458

904

will human ever live outside the solar system before the 22nd century?

Nov 7, 12:59 AMJan 21, 4:59 AM

33.92%chance

2820856

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6124

5575

Will GiveWell fund Community health promoters (eg those run by Living Goods) by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 7:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.13%chance

215978

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10497

2690

Do we live in a simulation?

Nov 24, 11:09 PMDec 31, 11:00 PM

42.55%chance

513369

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1102

815

Will Warren Buffet live to 100?

Oct 24, 2:27 PMAug 31, 6:59 AM

28.93%chance

313121

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1570

639

Will Daniel Lord still be living in a Tesla by the end of October?

Aug 22, 11:03 PMOct 31, 11:59 PM

62.21%chance

241358

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5320

4950

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