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Lores News

Which new words will Anthropic use to name Claude models? (Haiku, Sonnet, Opus, Fable, Mythos, ...)

Jun 14, 2:36 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

395033

OptionProbability

Claude Saga

Claude Ballad

Claude Odyssey

Claude Epic

Claude Anthology

Claude Novel

Claude … Quest, or Goliath

Claude Requiem

Claude Chronicle

Claude Parable

Canon

Claude … the name of a real (animal species, or settlement, or geological feature)

Claude Legend

Claude Allegory

Shannon

Claude Lore

Claude Tale

Claude Myth

29

23

22

18

18

18

16

16

15

14

14

12

11

10

8

4

2

1

Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?

Nov 26, 6:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

74.89%chance

311936

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1629

626

Status of the Wentworth-Lorell conjecture in 2026

Jan 10, 6:00 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31607

OptionProbability

Proven

Not resolved before 2027

Disproven

Proven independent of ZFC

42

41

13

5

Hawk Tuah themed sidequest in Gta6?

May 27, 5:50 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.16%chance

141551

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2366

423

Will "HPMOR: The (Probably) Untold Lore" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Jul 25, 10:00 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

13.44%chance

9714

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1042

993

Will Nintendo use LLM to generate lines for Luigi or Waluigi in any video game before 2033?

Mar 14, 4:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.7%chance

10221

OptionVotes

YES

NO

328

94

Dwarf fortress uses an LLM or AGI to generate better lore for the world by mid 2028

Jan 3, 6:25 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

17%chance

8175

OptionVotes

YES

NO

223

119

Will Wired retract or amend Taylor Lorenz's article on Chorus by the end of 2027?

Mar 11, 2:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15%chance

5143

OptionVotes

YES

NO

238

42

Will Taylor Lorenz have kids/a family by EOY 2033?

Nov 25, 2:35 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

20.82%chance

2115

OptionVotes

YES

NO

195

51

Will Marc Lore's planned city of Telosa begin construction before 2030?

May 1, 8:03 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

45.35%chance

6104

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

Is Lorentz invariance exact?

Dec 31, 3:11 PMJan 1, 3:06 PM

63.87%chance

349

OptionVotes

NO

YES

133

75

Assuming discovery in the next 10 years Will the first proved Aliens discovered resemble "Grays" or Ebbens lore?

Nov 7, 5:32 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

40.34%chance

231

OptionVotes

YES

NO

99

82

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