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Prediction markets for Low

In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full low-quality movie to a prompt?

Jan 28, 4:34 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

73.04%chance

293194777

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2603

1052

How low can @jim push the S&P 500? (2025)

Dec 31, 5:07 AMDec 30, 7:00 PM

2820062

OptionProbability

5900

5800

5700

5600

5500

5400

5300

5200

5100

5000

4900

4800

4700

4600

4500

4400

4300

4200

4100

4000

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

3

3

3

3

3

3

2

2

2

How low will Bitcoin fall by the end of the year?

Nov 17, 6:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5618406

OptionProbability

$90,000 or less

$85,000 or less

Stays Above $90,000

$80,000 or less

$75,000 or less

$70,000 or less

$65,000 or less

$60,000 or less

100

100

50

38

14

5

3

2

Has Elon Musk’s Tesla scrapped plans to build Model 2 (low cost ~$25k car) as Reuters claims?

Apr 5, 5:44 PMJan 13, 12:59 PM

93.31%chance

474059

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3488

193

Will Tesla deliver a low cost car before 2035?

May 27, 3:36 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

44%chance

202658

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1128

886

Will the overall claim that low flow showers cause more net water use hold up thru mid 2026?

Mar 9, 12:45 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

50.39%chance

34895

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1081

906

Will there be a "low scorigami" before 2030?

Sep 22, 9:39 PMJan 1, 6:00 AM

42.98%chance

23594

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1044

931

Will low carbon vehicle sales (e.g. electric, hydrogen, PI hybrid) be more than 50% of all car sales in the USA by 2030?

Oct 1, 1:55 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

47.41%chance

14411

OptionVotes

YES

NO

244

99

Will Gemini 3.0 Pro Preview have very low rate limits OR high latency OR multiple unstable weights?

Nov 6, 8:49 PMJan 1, 8:49 PM

19.38%chance

7296

OptionVotes

YES

NO

204

49

Is P. Diddy (Sean “Puffy” Combs) on the down low?

Apr 2, 1:59 AMJul 9, 11:09 PM

84.45%chance

6193

OptionVotes

NO

YES

336

91

“Low skill immigration decreases low skill wages” OR “increasing minimum wage decreases employment”

Jul 4, 12:26 PMJul 12, 6:59 AM

84.91%chance

2140

OptionVotes

NO

YES

237

42

Rupert Lowe still UK MP after 2029 general election?

Jul 11, 9:34 PMAug 14, 11:59 PM

43.19%chance

329

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

87

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