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Prediction markets for Low

In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full low-quality movie to a prompt?

Jan 28, 4:34 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

75.1%chance

288173519

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2753

999

How many jelly beans are in this jar? Veritasium Challenge, Low Resolution

May 24, 4:35 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

181104772

Will Rupert Lowe be a Reform UK MP on 1st September 2025?

Mar 7, 6:12 PMAug 31, 10:59 PM

1.03%chance

818658

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9805

102

Will Trump set a new record low approval rating this year? [Below 34.0% on Silver Bulletin]

Apr 28, 10:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15%chance

12417126

OptionVotes

YES

NO

354

50

What month will limit orders allow you to sell shares properly at low balance?

Aug 18, 4:23 PMJan 2, 10:59 PM

145933

OptionProbability

Not by the end of 2025

Dec 2025

May 2025

Jun 2025

Jul 2025

Aug 2025

Sep 2025

Oct 2025

Nov 2025

Aug 2023

Sep 2023

Oct 2023

Nov 2023

Dec 2023

Jan 2024

Feb 2024

Mar 2024

Apr 2024

May 2024

Jun 2024

Jul 2024

Aug 2024

Sep 2024

Oct 2024

Nov 2024

Dec 2024

Jan 2025

Feb 2025

Mar 2025

Apr 2025

Other

79

3

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will Tesla deliver a low cost car before 2035?

May 27, 3:36 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

44%chance

202658

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1128

886

Has Elon Musk’s Tesla scrapped plans to build Model 2 (low cost ~$25k car) as Reuters claims?

Apr 5, 5:44 PMJan 13, 12:59 PM

47.86%chance

411326

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1065

897

Will the overall claim that low flow showers cause more net water use hold up thru mid 2026?

Mar 9, 12:45 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

53%chance

32825

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1031

960

Will there be a "low scorigami" before 2030?

Sep 22, 9:39 PMJan 1, 6:00 AM

42.77%chance

21527

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1041

936

Will low risk stocks outperform the market from now until 2026 (sharpe ratio)?

Feb 7, 4:54 AMJan 1, 8:01 AM

78.94%chance

7239

OptionVotes

NO

YES

162

56

“Low skill immigration decreases low skill wages” OR “increasing minimum wage decreases employment”

Jul 4, 12:26 PMJul 12, 6:59 AM

84.91%chance

2140

OptionVotes

NO

YES

237

42

If Alex Zhu were to get qEEG, would his z-score for Fz low-beta power be higher than his z-score for Fz theta power?

Sep 24, 7:41 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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