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Top stories

93-Year-Old Cracker Barrel Founder Tommy Lowe Slams $700 Million Rebranding, Logo Backlash, and Partial Reversal Under CEO Julie Masino

Authors

14

7 months ago

Prediction markets for Lowe

In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full low-quality movie to a prompt?

Jan 28, 4:34 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

63%chance

342228245

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2044

1314

Will Tesla deliver a low cost car before 2035?

May 27, 3:36 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

38.1%chance

242892

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1275

784

High Class or Low Class? - Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "High Class" in 2026? (add answers)

Jan 16, 9:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

131498

OptionProbability

Skiing

Going to Horse Races

Sailing

Mountains

Tennis

Snowboarding

Having more than 5 kids

Captcha

Using generative AI

Appearing on the JRE podcast

Environmental activists

Christmas lights up after the New Year

Using Food Delivery Apps

Prediction markets

Hunting

Starbucks

Caring about whether a certain behavior is high class or low class

90

90

89

88

88

61

60

60

59

56

53

44

41

41

38

35

31

Will the overall claim that low flow showers cause more net water use hold up thru mid 2026?

Mar 9, 12:45 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

47.95%chance

35945

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1130

859

Will there be a "low scorigami" before 2030?

Sep 22, 9:39 PMJan 1, 6:00 AM

38.86%chance

23694

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1031

975

Will low carbon vehicle sales (e.g. electric, hydrogen, PI hybrid) be more than 80% of all car sales in the USA by 2030?

Oct 1, 1:56 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

18.6%chance

10668

OptionVotes

YES

NO

287

123

Will "PSA: Predictions markets often have very low ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Mar 18, 12:02 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

8.91%chance

3550

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1550

931

What are some low-effort tips for living mentally and physically healthier, and longer? [FREE RESPONSE]

Oct 9, 5:42 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM

9246

OptionProbability

Other

Healthy diet

gratitude

Walking

Sleep

Spend time outdoors

Stay hydrated

Positive mindset

47

18

12

6

6

6

3

3

“Low skill immigration decreases low skill wages” OR “increasing minimum wage decreases employment”

Jul 4, 12:26 PMJul 12, 6:59 AM

84.91%chance

2140

OptionVotes

NO

YES

237

42

Will USDA/FDA have a labeling program for certifying food with low microplastic load by 2030

Aug 24, 7:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

54.91%chance

381

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

91

Will "The Case for Low-Competence ASI Failure Scenarios" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Mar 21, 7:11 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

18.95%chance

252

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1052

732

If Alex Zhu were to get qEEG, would his z-score for Fz low-beta power be higher than his z-score for Fz theta power?

Sep 24, 7:41 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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