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Prediction markets for Lowell

Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2028?

Apr 1, 2:29 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

94.25%chance

10032064

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4865

283

Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2030?

Apr 1, 2:28 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

96.4%chance

5715081

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5933

274

In what year will AI achieve a score of 95% or higher on the PutnamBench leaderboard?

Jul 13, 5:43 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

43805

OptionProbability

2025-2026

2027-2028

2029-2030

2031-2032

2033-2034

2035-2036

2037-2038

2039-2040

19

16

12

12

12

10

10

10

Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2027?

Feb 10, 1:07 AMDec 31, 7:59 AM

89.48%chance

12863

OptionVotes

NO

YES

763

292

Which college will get 3rd place on the 2026 Putnam exam?

May 3, 6:52 AMFeb 16, 4:59 AM

9240

OptionProbability

Stanford

Harvard

Carnegie Mellon

Caltech

Other

UChicago

26

22

18

16

11

8

Will Monkey get perfect score on Putnam exam by 2060?

Aug 4, 12:55 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

15.51%chance

8188

OptionVotes

YES

NO

292

98

Will ANY Gemini or Apollo astronaut become centenarian?

Mar 10, 4:40 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47.64%chance

15

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

95

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