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Prediction markets for Lowell

Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2028?

Apr 1, 2:29 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

81.03%chance

9525701

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2522

563

Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2030?

Apr 1, 2:28 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

90%chance

5613141

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3243

446

Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2027?

Feb 10, 1:07 AMDec 31, 7:59 AM

55.18%chance

6350

OptionVotes

YES

NO

459

174

In what year will AI achieve a score of 95% or higher on the PutnamBench leaderboard?

Jul 13, 5:43 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

3305

OptionProbability

2025-2026

2027-2028

2029-2030

2031-2032

2033-2034

2035-2036

2037-2038

2039-2040

19

16

12

12

12

10

10

10

Will Monkey get perfect score on Putnam exam by 2060?

Aug 4, 12:55 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

17%chance

7168

OptionVotes

YES

NO

272

102

Will ANY Gemini or Apollo astronaut become centenarian?

Mar 10, 4:40 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47.64%chance

15

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

95

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