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Top stories

Ex-Eaton Developer Davis Lu Gets Four Years for Kill-Switch Sabotage

Ex-Eaton Developer Davis Lu Gets Four Years for Kill-Switch Sabotage

Authors

8

7 months ago

Prediction markets for Lu

Will Trump deploy federal law enforcement to crack down on protests by "radical left lunatics" by X date?

Nov 7, 7:29 PMJan 21, 2:59 AM

5073832

OptionProbability

January 20, 2029 (Whole term)

January 20, 2026 (First year)

January 20, 2025 (Inauguration Day)

February 20, 2025 (First month)

April 29, 2025 (First 100 days)

71

16

0

0

0

Will Joe Biden live to see Luffy find the One Piece?

Feb 13, 7:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

21%chance

18649763

OptionVotes

YES

NO

16534

8756

Will Lucy Letby be exonerated?

Aug 18, 7:32 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

45.57%chance

4933513

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1099

1087

Will the Dallas Mavericks "win" the Luka trade?

Feb 3, 5:39 AMSep 1, 8:59 PM

24.36%chance

2025690

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10819

3069

🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027

Sep 24, 9:28 AMOct 3, 2:59 PM

48.92%chance

6123558

OptionVotes

YES

NO

49884

48622

Will the Lumina oral probiotic treatment reduce the rate of cavities by at least 50% in the 4 years after application?

Apr 10, 6:07 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

45.21%chance

879123

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1637

1199

Who will be the next person to land on the moon?

Feb 9, 4:47 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

151252

OptionProbability

Other

Jing Haipeng

Tang Hongbo

Zhang Lu

Stephanie Wilson

Ye Guangfu

Cai Xuzhe

Andre Douglas

Kayla Barron

Chen Dong

Jasmin Moghbeli

Jenni Gibbons

Nicole A. Mann

Jonny Kim

Elon Musk

Kate Rubins

Jessica Watkins

Scott Tingle

Frank Rubio

Jessica Meir

Anne McClain

Kjell Lindgren

Christina H. Koch

Warren Hoburg

Victor Glover

Matthew Dominick

Raja Chari

Joseph Acaba

Wang Yaping

Liu Yang

Zhai Zhigang

Nichole Ayers

Jessica Wittner

@121

Jeffery Bezos

Mark Zuckerberg

Other

15

9

8

8

6

6

6

5

4

4

3

3

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

Will Miaoyi Lu win the World Chess Championship no longer than 2037?

Feb 5, 5:34 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

10.67%chance

3135

OptionVotes

YES

NO

245

70

Taiwan 2028 Long Range Market: Who will be the KMT Presidential Candidate?

Jan 14, 3:49 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

293

OptionProbability

Lu Shiow-yen

Cheng Li-wun

Chiang Wan-an

Other

Lo Chih-chiang

Han Kuo-yu

Hou Yu-ih

Terry Gou (Tai-ming)

Eric Chu (Li-luan)

33

20

15

10

8

6

3

3

3

Will Sichu Lu get someone pregnant by EOY2031?

Apr 12, 4:15 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

38.27%chance

427

OptionVotes

YES

NO

127

79

If Jose Luis Ricon were to sumo wrestle Sichu Lu, would he win?

Feb 2, 12:30 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.25%chance

220

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

Who will be the first Chinese taikonaut to walk on the Moon?

Mar 11, 2:43 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

120

OptionProbability

Other

Ye Guangfu

Chen Dong

Jing Haipeng

Nie Haisheng

Liu Boming

Zhai Zhigang

Tang Hongbo

Fei Junlong

Zhang Lu

Wu Fei

Li Cong

Li Guangsu

Chen Zhongrui

Wang Jie

Deng Qingming

Zhu Yangzhu

Wang Yaping

Liu Yang

Wang Haoze

21

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

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