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Prediction markets for Lucie

Will Lucy Letby be exonerated?

Aug 18, 7:32 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

45.57%chance

4933513

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1099

1087

Will the CCRC refer Lucy Letby's case to the Court of Appeal?

Sep 9, 7:51 AMSep 1, 10:59 PM

30%chance

1611909

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1529

655

Did Lucy Letby murder any infants? (media consensus)

May 19, 9:32 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

25%chance

337337

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1732

577

Who will be the next person appointed as a Supreme Court Justice in the USA?

May 3, 2:45 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

373460

OptionProbability

Other

Andrew Oldham

Leondra Kruger

Kristen Clarke

Elizabeth Prelogar

Ted Cruz

Merrick Garland

Sri Srinivasan

Lucy Koh

Michelle Alexander

Brigitte Amiri

Mike Lee

Cheri Beasley

Richard Boulware

Xavier Becerra

Rudy Giuliani

78

8

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

Who will be the next leader of the UK Labour Party?

Jun 8, 2:46 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

352212

OptionProbability

Angela Rayner

Other

Wes Streeting

Lisa Nandy

Shabana Mahmood

Ed Miliband

Andy Burnham

John Healey

Lucy Powell

Al Carns

Bridget Phillipson

Rachel Reeves

Louise Haigh

David Lammy

Yvette Cooper

David Miliband

Jess Phillips

20

15

13

12

10

9

6

4

3

3

2

1

1

1

0

0

0

Will Lucy Letby be released before end of 2035?

Nov 29, 11:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.09%chance

5118

OptionVotes

NO

YES

120

83

Will Lucy Guo (or a parody of) be a character in GTA6?

Apr 10, 7:37 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

27.48%chance

590

OptionVotes

YES

NO

250

107

Will Lucy Farnik and Anna Magpie get engaged by 1 Jan 2028?

Jan 15, 8:41 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

42.06%chance

386

OptionVotes

YES

NO

117

85

Will Lucy Guo become a comedian by 2045?

Aug 9, 4:57 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

28.44%chance

260

OptionVotes

YES

NO

159

63

Will Jose Luis Ricon and Lucy Guo both go on an AFRICAN SAFARI together by EOY2045?

Jun 6, 4:34 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

43.06%chance

215

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

87

Is Lucy Guo funny?

Aug 9, 6:35 PM

40

If Lucy Guo, Alexey Guzey, BasedBeffJezos, Chelsea Voss, and Joscha Bach were to Oregon Trail together, who dies first?

Mar 16, 12:03 AM

10

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