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Top stories

3.18-Million-Year-Old Australopithecine Lucy, Discovered in Ethiopia, Exhibited in Europe at Prague National Museum Since August 2025

3.18-Million-Year-Old Australopithecine Lucy, Discovered in Ethiopia, Exhibited in Europe at Prague National Museum Since August 2025

Authors

12

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Lucy

Will Lucy Letby be exonerated?

Aug 18, 7:32 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

9.4%chance

6037297

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3407

427

Will the CCRC refer Lucy Letby's case to the Court of Appeal?

Sep 9, 7:51 AMAug 27, 10:59 PM

30%chance

2312072

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1529

655

Did Lucy Letby murder any infants? (media consensus)

May 19, 9:32 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

29.56%chance

337525

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1544

648

Will Lucy Letby be exonerated?

Aug 1, 4:23 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

8.69%chance

12776

OptionVotes

YES

NO

312

53

Will Lucy Letby be released before end of 2035?

Nov 29, 11:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.83%chance

6163

OptionVotes

YES

NO

128

78

When will Lucy Powell cease to be Deputy Leader of the Labour Party?

Jul 16, 5:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2151

OptionProbability

Before 2034

Before 2035

Before 2036

Before 2033

Before 2032

Before 2031

Before 2030

Before 2029

Before 2028

Before 2027

76

76

76

72

71

69

66

50

34

24

Will Lucy Guo (or a parody of) be a character in GTA6?

Apr 10, 7:37 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

27.48%chance

590

OptionVotes

YES

NO

250

107

Will Lucy Farnik and Anna Magpie get engaged by 1 Jan 2028?

Jan 15, 8:41 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

42.06%chance

386

OptionVotes

YES

NO

117

85

Will Lucy Guo become a comedian by 2045?

Aug 9, 4:57 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

28.44%chance

260

OptionVotes

YES

NO

159

63

Will Jose Luis Ricon and Lucy Guo both go on an AFRICAN SAFARI together by EOY2045?

Jun 6, 4:34 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

43.06%chance

215

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

87

Is Lucy Guo funny?

Aug 9, 6:35 PM

40

If Lucy Guo, Alexey Guzey, BasedBeffJezos, Chelsea Voss, and Joscha Bach were to Oregon Trail together, who dies first?

Mar 16, 12:03 AM

20

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