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Prediction markets for Luke Metz

Will any Mox member (as of Sep 11 2025) be a billionaire 5 years from now?

Sep 12, 1:36 AMSep 12, 1:29 AM

42.82%chance

2713342

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1156

865

Out of these AI researchers, who is the smartest?

Oct 19, 1:11 PMOct 20, 1:09 PM

3432

OptionProbability

Andrej Karpathy

Ilya Sutskever

Lilian Weng

Greg Yang

Luke Metz

Chip Huyen

Ashish Vaswani

Noam Shazeer

Jacob Steinhardt

Jack Clark

Sander Dieleman

Paul Christiano

Shivon Zilis

17

17

17

17

17

17

17

17

17

17

17

10

10

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