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Prediction markets for Luke Metz

Will any Mox member (as of Sep 11 2025) be a billionaire 5 years from now?

Sep 12, 1:36 AMSep 12, 1:29 AM

72.28%chance

2411553

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1615

619

Out of these AI researchers, who is the smartest?

Oct 19, 1:11 PMOct 20, 1:09 PM

2430

OptionProbability

Andrej Karpathy

Ilya Sutskever

Lilian Weng

Greg Yang

Luke Metz

Chip Huyen

Ashish Vaswani

Noam Shazeer

Jacob Steinhardt

Jack Clark

Sander Dieleman

Paul Christiano

Shivon Zilis

17

17

17

17

17

17

17

17

17

17

17

10

10

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