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Prediction markets for Lutz

Will AI displace social drinking within 5 years?

Jun 2, 6:46 PMMay 30, 3:59 AM

6.61%chance

7217441

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3760

266

Will Kaliningrad achieve independence from Russia by the end of 2026?

Feb 4, 5:32 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

6.49%chance

488207

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1259

942

What NFL team will Arch Manning play for?

May 21, 3:03 PMMay 1, 3:59 AM

91654

OptionProbability

Other

New Orleans Saints

New York Jets

Cleveland Browns

New York Giants

Indianapolis Colts

Las Vegas Raiders

Denver Broncos

Tennessee Titans

None

28

25

17

10

4

4

4

3

3

2

Next pope leads more or less Catholics than current pope?

May 9, 7:07 PMDec 31, 8:03 PM

76.31%chance

15373

OptionVotes

NO

YES

179

56

Will the new the new coalition of CDU/CSU/SPD govern until the end of the term in spring 2029?

May 6, 3:08 PMMar 30, 11:59 PM

63.71%chance

6129

OptionVotes

NO

YES

133

75

Will the last stage pension for mothers (Mütterrente) be implemented before the end of 2025

Apr 26, 3:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51%chance

7106

OptionVotes

NO

YES

102

98

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