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MacArthur News
Prediction markets for MacArthur
Prediction markets for MacArthur
Will there be more MacArthur Fellows in 2025 than in 2024?
Oct 9, 6:48 PM
Oct 11, 3:59 AM
62.22%
chance
3
31
Option
Votes
NO
YES
128
78
What will be the level of philanthropic funding for nuclear issues in 2025?
Jul 7, 2:02 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
61.26%
chance
2
24
Option
Probability
YES
NO
129
103
Will any of the 2016 Pareto Fellows end up with a MacArthur Fellowship by EOY 2040?
Aug 28, 11:57 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
50%
chance
0
0
Option
Votes
NO
YES
100
100
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