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Prediction markets for Magaziner

Who will be TIME Magazine's 2025 Person of the Year?

Dec 6, 1:02 PMDec 11, 7:59 AM

538239904

OptionProbability

Robert Prevost / Pope Leo XIV

[Any variation of Artificial Intelligence]

Other

Donald Trump and/or JD Vance

Benjamin Netanyahu

Zohran Mamdani

Sam Altman

Xi Jinping

Elon Musk

Vladimir Putin

[Any variation of "The Victims of War"]

[Any variation of "The Courts"]

[Any variation of "Trump Prosecutors"]

Beyonce

Gavin Newsom

AOC

33

22

22

7

5

3

2

2

2

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky appear on the cover of any of these magazines before 2028?

Jul 13, 11:37 AMJan 2, 12:30 PM

47.67%chance

8713481

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1050

916

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win the Time Magazine person of the year by 2042?

Mar 14, 4:34 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5.15%chance

372394

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1971

874

Will the German Interior Ministry succeed in banning the right-wing "Compact" magazine?

Jul 16, 8:09 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

15.41%chance

61800

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2343

427

Will a magazine publish a +8000 word piece about the Silicon Valley Bank saga?

Mar 13, 9:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

44.74%chance

16966

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1365

444

Who will be the 2025 Time Magazine Athlete of the Year?

Mar 2, 6:53 PMDec 10, 4:59 AM

5741

OptionProbability

Other

Lamine Yamal

Shohei Ohtani

Josh Allen

Max Verstappen

Caitlin Clark

Juan Soto

Patrick Mahomes

Lionel Messi

Jalen Hurts

Saquon Barkley

38

12

11

5

5

5

5

5

5

5

4

Who will be Time Magazine's "Person of the Century" in 2100? (or modern equivalent)

May 23, 10:42 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

5258

OptionProbability

Other

Daniel Hillis

Daniel Sheehan

Balaji Srinivasan

Robert Kennedy Jr

Eliezer Yudkowsky

Elon Musk

Donald Trump

Geoffrey Hinton

32

24

20

7

6

4

3

2

2

Will Mr. Beast become Time Magazine person of the year before the Year 2028?

Sep 22, 4:34 AMJan 1, 2:59 PM

14.62%chance

8232

OptionVotes

YES

NO

242

41

Will Forbes magazine still offer print subscription by the end of 2100?

Jan 19, 2:57 AMJan 26, 4:59 AM

27.9%chance

346

OptionVotes

YES

NO

142

90

Will Forbes magazine still offer print subscription by the end of 2050?

Jan 19, 2:57 AMJan 26, 4:59 AM

33.73%chance

331

OptionVotes

YES

NO

128

97

Will Forbes magazine still offer print subscription by the end of 2040?

Jan 19, 2:57 AMJan 26, 4:59 AM

41.23%chance

315

OptionVotes

YES

NO

119

103

Will Julia Eckert@JuliaEckert10 end up with a post in Asimov Press or Quanta Magazine by 2030?

Jul 1, 9:44 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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