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Prediction markets for Magnus Carlsen

Will Magnus Carlsen become the FIDE World Chess Champion again by 2031?

Jun 6, 12:50 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

21.55%chance

557969

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1441

802

Will anyone top Magnus Carlsen's peak ELO of 2882 by the end of 2026?

Dec 7, 11:40 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

8.24%chance

405630

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4682

474

Will Magnus Carlsen drop below 2800 Elo at any point before 2026?

May 29, 9:07 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

6.01%chance

185575

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3953

253

Will Magnus Carlsen still be the best chess player in 2026?

Apr 16, 5:51 PMJan 2, 2:00 AM

94.95%chance

514741

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4382

480

Will Magnus Carlsen be the highest FIDE rating chess player at the end of 2025?

Dec 29, 8:56 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

95.75%chance

274087

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4427

600

Will Magnus Carlsen compete for the FIDE Classical World Chess Championship before 2033?

Oct 1, 1:45 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

7.93%chance

313791

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3121

513

Will Magnus Carlsen, the world chess #1 since 2011, be ranked #1 in 2029.1.1?

Aug 7, 8:30 AMDec 1, 2:59 PM

24.43%chance

423036

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1383

828

Will Magnus Carlsen be dethroned from his #1 spot in FIDE rating before GTA 6 is released?

Sep 22, 12:52 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

8.02%chance

112823

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3386

295

Will Magnus Carlsen have the highest ELO in the world in mid 2026?

Feb 5, 4:47 PMJul 1, 1:00 AM

83.24%chance

121922

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2229

449

Will Magnus Carlsen compete in a Candidate's tournament before 2029?

Apr 10, 3:10 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

15.45%chance

191063

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1689

811

Magnus Carlsen runs for public office before 2045

Apr 13, 2:41 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

19.45%chance

17438

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1129

954

Will Magnus Carlsen have two children by May 2030?

Mar 21, 10:47 PMJan 6, 6:59 AM

34.15%chance

12130

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1030

977

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