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Prediction markets for Magny

Will powerful (magnitude 8.0 or more) earthquake hit city of Almaty (this is a city in Kazakhstan) before end of 2025?

Mar 25, 4:09 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.33%chance

258341

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7270

518

World GDP grows by an order of magnitude in 10 years?

Mar 24, 3:41 PMMar 24, 3:34 PM

9.73%chance

172896

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3045

328

What will be the highest magnitude of an earthquake near the Phlegraean Fields in italy (Campi Flegrei) in 2025?

May 20, 8:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52028

OptionProbability

4.6 to 5.0

Up to 4.5

5.1 to 5.5

5.6 to 6.0

More than 6.1

Other

66

13

5

5

5

5

Magnitude 6.0+ earthquake in Southern California before August 5, 2025

May 7, 9:10 PMAug 5, 12:00 AM

1%chance

151364

OptionVotes

YES

NO

995

10

Will a major earthquake (above 8.0 magnitude) strike a populated area in the Pacific Ring of Fire within five years?

Jan 9, 10:59 AMJan 10, 4:59 AM

79.46%chance

17946

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1783

671

Will there be an earthquake of at least 5.5 Magnitude on Cinco de Mayo 2026? (May 5)

May 5, 2:05 PMMay 6, 11:59 PM

62.98%chance

13694

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130

77

Will the Cascadia megaearthquake (magnitude 8.0 or above) in the Pacific NW happen by 2035?

Oct 21, 8:48 PMOct 29, 3:59 AM

20%chance

15635

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1003

798

Will AI predict the next magnitude 7+ earthquake to hit San Francisco before it happens?

Jun 21, 1:20 AMJan 2, 2:11 AM

10.45%chance

10380

OptionVotes

YES

NO

293

34

Will the sex difference in the general factor of anxiety be of the same magnitude as the sex difference in anxiety?

Mar 25, 8:59 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

73.72%chance

12240

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1081

955

Will California experience an earthquake of magnitude 8.0 or greater before 2030?

May 2, 3:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.17%chance

7223

OptionVotes

YES

NO

252

72

Will T Coronae Borealis reach magnitude 5.0 before August 15, 2025?

Apr 24, 4:04 AMAug 14, 11:59 PM

20.36%chance

9193

OptionVotes

YES

NO

198

51

Magnificent 7 below 30% of S&P 500 in 2025?

Jan 13, 4:05 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

47.68%chance

3150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1048

955

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