Manifold News

BP Taps CRH Veteran Albert Manifold as Chairman Amid Elliott Pressure

13 days ago

👍👎 Manifold Leadership Approval Rating [Market Index]

Jan 11, 5:36 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

56.31%chance

440954278

OptionVotes

YES

12844

6434

Which will be Manifold's largest revenue driver at the end of 2025?

Aug 11, 10:13 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

127565977

OptionProbability

Other

Mana purchases (or spread between sweeps purchase & redemption)

Fees from subsidizing or promoting markets

Subscription plan

On-site advertising

B2B income (e.g. setting up internal corporate markets)

Transactions fees from trades

Interest on held cash

Selling data / API access / colocation

House rake on games (e.g. poker)

Donations (e.g. Wikipedia)

Job board / hiring program

Sales of digital goods

Will Manifold ever be worth $1B?

Apr 24, 4:23 AMDec 31, 7:59 AM

10%chance

143331308

OptionVotes

YES

3668

2233

What's the average IQ of active manifold users? (PERMANENT)

Apr 27, 8:33 PMDec 27, 10:59 PM

55.39%chance

139101337

OptionProbability

YES

1411

1260

Will Manifold achieve break-even profitability in 2025?

Feb 14, 4:50 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

6.59%chance

6239747

OptionVotes

YES

32582

1375

Will real-money betting on Polymarket or Manifold become legal for US residents in 2025?

Jan 22, 7:14 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

71.4%chance

4918536

OptionVotes

YES

17049

3233

Will James or Austin return to Manifold before 2026?

Sep 15, 6:55 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

12.55%chance

2717673

OptionVotes

YES

23775

6052

Will manifold shrink from start of 2025 to 2030?

Feb 15, 9:51 AMFeb 22, 10:59 PM

41.68%chance

1916388

OptionVotes

YES

11616

8644

[MANA BOUNTY + USD BOUNTY] Will Manifold help me land a role I'm happy with by EOY 2025?

Jul 5, 12:41 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

20.52%chance

3412373

OptionVotes

YES

19679

5082

Will Manifold "be around" in 20 years?

Sep 6, 1:08 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

50.42%chance

8111618

OptionVotes

YES

1614

1163

Will this question get 100k traders before Manifold shuts down?

Apr 18, 3:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.42%chance

157995

OptionVotes

YES

2540

394

Does manifold prefer Separate Peace or Movable Feast?

Jan 10, 10:31 PMFeb 10, 4:59 AM

OptionProbability

a separate peace - knowles

a movable feast - hemmingway

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Jul 21, 2025
Jul 21, 2025
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BP Taps CRH Veteran Albert Manifold as Chairman Amid Elliott Pressure
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13 days ago

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👍👎 Manifold Leadership Approval Rating [Market Index]

Which will be Manifold's largest revenue driver at the end of 2025?

Will Manifold ever be worth $1B?

What's the average IQ of active manifold users? (PERMANENT)

Will Manifold achieve break-even profitability in 2025?

Will real-money betting on Polymarket or Manifold become legal for US residents in 2025?

Will James or Austin return to Manifold before 2026?

Will manifold shrink from start of 2025 to 2030?

[MANA BOUNTY + USD BOUNTY] Will Manifold help me land a role I'm happy with by EOY 2025?

Will Manifold "be around" in 20 years?

Will this question get 100k traders before Manifold shuts down?

Does manifold prefer Separate Peace or Movable Feast?

Latest stories

Join our channels

WhatsApp

Telegram