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Top stories

France Returns King Toera Skull to Madagascar in First Use of 2023 Restitution Law

France Returns King Toera Skull to Madagascar in First Use of 2023 Restitution Law

Authors

13

3 months ago

Prediction markets for Mara

Will a legal sub two-hour marathon be run before December 31, 2025.

Nov 13, 12:20 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3.72%chance

279884

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5075

204

Will Taylor Swift get married before a swift human breaks the 2h00m00s official marathon barrier?

Jan 12, 11:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

86.15%chance

417969

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4753

1052

When will someone run a marathon under 2:00 hours at an officially sanctioned race?

Nov 13, 2:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.33%chance

287564

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1657

359

In what year will a human complete an official, verified marathon in under two hours?

Dec 2, 7:50 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

277111

OptionProbability

2027

2026

2030 or later

2028

2029

2025

2024

36

20

17

11

9

6

1

Will Eliud Kipchoge ever win the NYC or Boston marathon?

May 7, 1:02 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

6.8%chance

83299

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1812

366

Will someone run a marathon wearing an Apple Vision Pro?

Feb 11, 5:36 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

8.02%chance

272842

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2519

100

Will humans run a two hour marathon before humanoid robots?

Apr 19, 7:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.53%chance

332108

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1140

877

Will a human run a marathon under 2 hours before the Russia-Ukraine war ends

Mar 29, 9:40 PMDec 6, 4:59 AM

25.63%chance

231805

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1600

623

Marathon hits 100K concurrent Steam players before 2026?

Apr 21, 6:51 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

3.49%chance

8833

OptionVotes

YES

NO

526

19

Will marasi show up in mistborn era 3

Dec 22, 10:11 AMDec 29, 9:59 PM

72.59%chance

5717

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1628

614

Will Marathon (Bungie's new game) release before the Legend of Zelda Movie (Nintendo)?

Dec 26, 2:58 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

44.06%chance

13350

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1108

816

Is 7A+ harder than marathon?

Oct 25, 9:50 AMDec 31, 9:06 AM

77.14%chance

6135

OptionVotes

NO

YES

184

54

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