OptionProbability
Gavin Newsom
Josh Shapiro
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Pete Buttigieg
Mark Kelly
Jon Ossoff
Andy Beshear
Ruben Gallego
Gretchen Whitmer
Ro Khanna
Wes Moore
JB Pritzker
Kamala Harris
Chris Van Hollen
Tim Walz
Cory Booker
Raphael Warnock
Josh Green
Rahm Emanuel
75
48
38
32
27
24
20
16
15
12
10
8
5
4
Puerto Rico
Washington DC
Other
Alberta
Greenland
US Virgin Islands
North Mariana Islands
American Samoa
Guam
Outer space stations or bases
Jefferson
41
34
6
1
0
Increase
Stays the same
Decrease
66
14
Yes - Contiguous United States
Yes - Pacific Territories
Yes - Hawaii and Alaska
No
84
74
55
Tatiana Clouthier
Waldo Fernandez Gonzalez
Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas
Mariana Rodríguez Cantú
Fermando Margain Sada
Adrian de la Garza Santos
Clara Luz Flores
Cesar Garza Villarreal
Carlos de la Fuente Flores
Daniel Carrillo Martínez
Andrés Mijes Llovera
Héctor García García
Ildefonso Guajardo Villarreal
13
9