Mario News

Will a human complete a Perfect Run of Super Mario Bros like @summoningsalt predicts by EOY 2030

Feb 8, 2:46 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

84.94%chance

272955

OptionVotes

YES

2248

1874

Mario Kart World MEGAMARKET

Apr 6, 4:52 AMApr 3, 11:59 PM

82627

OptionProbability

It will get a Metascore of 50 or more

It will get a Metascore of 55 or more

It will get a Metascore of 60 or more

It will get a Metascore of 65 or more

It will get a Metascore of 70 or more

It will get a Metascore of 75 or more

It will get a Metascore of 80 or more

It will have sold over 1 million copies by the end of September 2025

It will have sold over 3 million copies by the end of September 2025

It will be nominated for at least one award at the Game Awards 2025

It will have sold over 5.91 million copies (the lifetime sales of Mario Kart: Super Circuit for the Game Boy Advance) by the end of September 2025

It will get a Metascore of 85 or more

It will have sold over 5 million copies by the end of September 2025

It will have sold over 9.87 million copies (the lifetime sales of Mario Kart 64 for the Nintendo 64) by the end of FY2026

It will have sold over 6.88 million copies (the lifetime sales of Mario Kart: Double Dash for the Nintendo Gamecube) by the end of September 2025

It will be the best-selling Nintendo Switch 2 game (not including Nintendo Switch 2 edition games) at the end of calendar year 2025

It will have sold over 6.88 million copies (the lifetime sales of Mario Kart: Double Dash for the Nintendo Gamecube) by the end of Calendar Year 2025

It will have sold over 18.99 million copies (The lifetime sales of Mario Kart 7) by the end of FY2027

It will have sold over 6.88 million copies (the lifetime sales of Mario Kart: Double Dash for the Nintendo Gamecube) by the end of FY2026

It will have sold over 8.46 million copies (the lifetime sales of Mario Kart 8 for the WiiU) by the end of September 2025

It will have sold over 8.76 million copies (the lifetime sales of Super Mario Kart for the Super Nintendo) by the end of September 2025

It will have sold over 9.87 million copies (the lifetime sales of Mario Kart 64 for the Nintendo 64) by the end of Calendar Year 2025

It will be the best-selling Nintendo Switch 2 game (not including Nintendo Switch 2 edition games) at the end of calendar year 2026

It will be nominated for multiple awards at the Game Awards 2025

It will have sold over 9.87 million copies (the lifetime sales of Mario Kart 64 for the Nintendo 64) by the end of September 2025

It will have sold over 18.99 million copies (The lifetime sales of Mario Kart 7) by the end of FY2026

It will get a Metascore of 90 or more

It will have sold over 12 million copies by the end of September 2025

It will win an award at the Game Awards 2025

It will have sold over 37.38 million copies (The lifetime sales of Mario Kart Wii) by the end of FY2027

It will have sold over 15 million copies by the end of September 2025

It will have sold over 18.99 million copies (The lifetime sales of Mario Kart 7) by the end of Calendar Year 2025

It will have sold over 37.38 million copies (The lifetime sales of Mario Kart Wii) by the end of FY2026

It will win multiple awards at the Game Awards 2025

It will have sold over 18.99 million copies (The lifetime sales of Mario Kart 7) by the end of September 2025

It will overtake the sales figures of Mario Kart 8 Deluxe for the Nintendo Switch (not counting WiiU sales of Mario Kart 8) by the end of calendar year 2027

It will overtake the sales figures of Mario Kart 8 Deluxe for the Nintendo Switch (not counting WiiU sales of Mario Kart 8) by the end of calendar year 2028

It will get a Metascore of 95 or more

It will overtake the sales figures of Mario Kart 8 (INCLUDING WiiU sales of Mario Kart 8 AND Switch Sales of Mario Kart 8 Deluxe) by the end of calendar year 2029

Will a TAS for Super Mario Bros (NES) improve upon the currently best known TAS before 2026?

Sep 23, 2:15 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

10.77%chance

151202

OptionVotes

YES

1733

826

The next mainline 3D Mario game will cost $69+

Jan 9, 8:28 PMNov 11, 8:48 PM

94.82%chance

17980

OptionVotes

YES

909

Which of these Mario-related movies will be released first?

Apr 12, 7:20 AMJan 13, 7:59 AM

7679

OptionProbability

Super Mario Bros 2 (that isn't largely based on Luigi's Mansion)

A movie where Donkey Kong is the primary focus, more than Mario and Luigi.

A Luigi's Mansion Movie

Will the sequel to The Super Mario Bros. Movie gross more worldwide at the box office than the first film?

Mar 10, 2:33 PMMar 3, 1:29 PM

49.69%chance

12675

OptionVotes

YES

293

212

Will a Super Smash Bros movie be announced as In Production by Mario Day 2028? (Mar 10)

Dec 21, 4:45 PMMar 11, 4:59 AM

24.07%chance

16624

OptionVotes

YES

1550

742

Melee - Mario Stock (Permanent)

Mar 11, 5:09 AMAug 11, 9:43 PM

9201

OptionProbability

YES

384

301

Will the sequel to The Super Mario Bros. Movie gross more worldwide than the original after one year of its release?

Sep 11, 4:23 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

39.04%chance

7174

OptionVotes

YES

112

Will there be another Nintendo-themed "Land" at a Universal Studios Park apart from Mario and Donkey Kong before 2031?

May 7, 12:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

55.53%chance

9153

OptionVotes

YES

112

Will Kamala Harris release another Book before the next Mario Party game comes out?

Nov 5, 4:44 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

62.39%chance

673

OptionVotes

YES

129

When will the next Paper Mario game be released?

Apr 29, 10:57 AMJan 1, 11:54 AM

227

Mario News

Prediction markets for Mario

Prediction markets for Mario

Prediction markets for Mario

Will a human complete a Perfect Run of Super Mario Bros like @summoningsalt predicts by EOY 2030

Mario Kart World MEGAMARKET

Will a TAS for Super Mario Bros (NES) improve upon the currently best known TAS before 2026?

The next mainline 3D Mario game will cost $69+

Which of these Mario-related movies will be released first?

Will the sequel to The Super Mario Bros. Movie gross more worldwide at the box office than the first film?

Will a Super Smash Bros movie be announced as In Production by Mario Day 2028? (Mar 10)

Melee - Mario Stock (Permanent)

Will the sequel to The Super Mario Bros. Movie gross more worldwide than the original after one year of its release?

Will there be another Nintendo-themed "Land" at a Universal Studios Park apart from Mario and Donkey Kong before 2031?

Will Kamala Harris release another Book before the next Mario Party game comes out?

When will the next Paper Mario game be released?

Latest stories