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Top stories

Diamondbacks Rally Around Marte After Unapproved Absence Sparks Backlash

Diamondbacks Rally Around Marte After Unapproved Absence Sparks Backlash

Authors

8

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Marte

Does Martingale betting have zero expected value even with unlimited funds? (note caveats)

Nov 12, 8:51 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

16.34%chance

4853458

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2009

482

Will Winds of Winter (a song of ice and fire) be published before George R.R. Martin's death?

Oct 13, 12:47 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

40.67%chance

10224340

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2508

1542

Will any part of America be under martial law during midterm elections?

Jan 20, 1:18 AMNov 4, 2:00 AM

13.42%chance

6312521

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2540

394

Will George R.R. Martin die before delivering the final book in the “A Song of Ice and Fire” series?

Apr 3, 7:06 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

87.94%chance

596459

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2046

1123

Will the next book of A Song of Ice and Fire by George R. R. Martin be released by the end of 2030?

Jul 24, 10:17 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

66.51%chance

576376

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1155

893

Will there be a martian colony by 2050?

Dec 23, 10:35 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

38.62%chance

805971

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1384

1384

Martial Law declared in USA by end of 2028?

Mar 23, 7:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.01%chance

545481

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1999

500

Will Winds of Winter come out before George RR Martin dies?

Dec 24, 6:32 PMApr 1, 3:59 AM

43.27%chance

222475

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1146

874

Will @martinrandall sleeping beauty market resolve before 2030?

Apr 5, 2:16 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

30.06%chance

11685

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1716

770

Will True Detective Season 5 be released before The Winds of Winter? (George R. R. Martin's next Game of Thrones Book)

Jan 17, 2:15 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

70.67%chance

17499

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1159

920

Will Martinique gain independence before 2030?

Jul 8, 4:59 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

41.45%chance

7316

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1188

841

Which club is in first place in premier league 1 marts 2026

Mar 1, 6:33 PM

30

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