Mason News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Mason
OptionProbability
100
100
56
42
42
40
39
37
37
31
31
31
30
28
22
20
17
16
15
15
14
11
8
8
8
8
6
6
6
6
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
Will any Mox member (as of Sep 11 2025) be a billionaire 5 years from now?
Sep 12, 1:36 AMSep 12, 1:29 AM
44.36%chance
2913437
OptionVotes
1120
893
OptionProbability
100
100
58
38
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will Robin Hanson create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
Jan 9, 6:40 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
60.32%chance
343263
OptionVotes
1102
779
OptionProbability
99
84
83
80
80
80
72
70
67
63
55
55
50
50
50
45
45
45
41
41
37
37
27
26
26
22
Will Mason Greenwood play in the Premier League again?
Feb 2, 5:18 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
30.55%chance
182450
OptionVotes
1429
708
Will Bryan Caplan create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
Jan 9, 6:37 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
27.56%chance
251467
OptionVotes
1589
587
Will Tyler Cowen create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
Jan 9, 6:38 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
14.5%chance
17950
OptionVotes
1703
786
Roland Fryer [Harvard Economist] Multiple Choice markets (many topics, many market lengths)
Dec 10, 9:05 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM
8280
OptionProbability
64
57
44
33
31
24
24
0
0
0
0
0
Top 1% of US wealth holders control over 45% of nation's wealth by EOY2028?
Jul 27, 3:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
31.39%chance
7176
OptionVotes
148
68
Will Sam Darnold be the only QB from the 2018 class to win a Super Bowl?
Feb 13, 7:42 AMFeb 21, 11:59 PM
20%chance
4131
OptionVotes
200
50
Will mason, Jose Luis Ricon, Evan Lin, Henry Bass, adic_9, janus/repligate all get to live in a treehouse by 2027?
Jul 27, 11:53 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
39.31%chance
125
OptionVotes
124
80